Recent National Weather Service model runs indicate a transitional spring pattern for Los Angeles on May 19, with onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer likely capping daytime highs near 72–74 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in the afternoon maximum, driven by variable cloud cover and sea-breeze timing that can shift peak temperatures by 2–3 °F. Historical May climatology places the normal high around 73 °F, providing a baseline against which current guidance is measured. Because the most probable outcomes cluster tightly, traders are weighting the latest 12z and 00z model updates, which will be refined by tomorrow’s morning soundings and any changes in the subtropical ridge position.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 19?
74°F or higher 40%
72-73°F 30%
70-71°F 12%
68-69°F 11%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
30%
74°F or higher
39%
74°F or higher 40%
72-73°F 30%
70-71°F 12%
68-69°F 11%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
30%
74°F or higher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXRecent National Weather Service model runs indicate a transitional spring pattern for Los Angeles on May 19, with onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer likely capping daytime highs near 72–74 °F. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in the afternoon maximum, driven by variable cloud cover and sea-breeze timing that can shift peak temperatures by 2–3 °F. Historical May climatology places the normal high around 73 °F, providing a baseline against which current guidance is measured. Because the most probable outcomes cluster tightly, traders are weighting the latest 12z and 00z model updates, which will be refined by tomorrow’s morning soundings and any changes in the subtropical ridge position.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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