Official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily high of 24–26°C in Zhengzhou today under mostly cloudy skies with southerly flow and minimal precipitation. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-to-late September, when regional highs typically decline from early-month peaks near 28°C toward seasonal averages around 24–26°C amid increasing cloud cover and moderating monsoon influences. The overwhelming 96.5% market-implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions and tight model agreement. A rapid shift to clear skies or an unforecasted warm advection event could push readings above 26°C, though current data and historical variability make such deviations improbable before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 17?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 17?
25°C 100.0%
27°C 2.1%
26°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
27°C 2.1%
26°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
22°C or below
$92 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$558 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$1,277 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$1,016 Обс.
100%
26°C
$387 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$1,474 Обс.
2%
28°C
$1,508 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$1,055 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$651 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$52 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,172 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily high of 24–26°C in Zhengzhou today under mostly cloudy skies with southerly flow and minimal precipitation. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-to-late September, when regional highs typically decline from early-month peaks near 28°C toward seasonal averages around 24–26°C amid increasing cloud cover and moderating monsoon influences. The overwhelming 96.5% market-implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions and tight model agreement. A rapid shift to clear skies or an unforecasted warm advection event could push readings above 26°C, though current data and historical variability make such deviations improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,243Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily high of 24–26°C in Zhengzhou today under mostly cloudy skies with southerly flow and minimal precipitation. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-to-late September, when regional highs typically decline from early-month peaks near 28°C toward seasonal averages around 24–26°C amid increasing cloud cover and moderating monsoon influences. The overwhelming 96.5% market-implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions and tight model agreement. A rapid shift to clear skies or an unforecasted warm advection event could push readings above 26°C, though current data and historical variability make such deviations improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,243Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily high of 24–26°C in Zhengzhou today under mostly cloudy skies with southerly flow and minimal precipitation. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-to-late September, when regional highs typically decline from early-month peaks near 28°C toward seasonal averages around 24–26°C amid increasing cloud cover and moderating monsoon influences. The overwhelming 96.5% market-implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions and tight model agreement. A rapid shift to clear skies or an unforecasted warm advection event could push readings above 26°C, though current data and historical variability make such deviations improbable before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання