Incumbent Republican Derek Schmidt's March filing for re-election, backed by a Trump endorsement, has solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP hold in Kansas' 2nd Congressional District, a Republican-leaning seat where he won convincingly in 2024 against Democrat Nancy Boyda. The district's partisan lean, historical voting patterns favoring Republicans, and lack of competitive polling underscore the uphill path for Democratic nominee Don Coover, a southeast Kansas veterinarian and Army veteran with limited name recognition or fundraising edge. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with attention now on August 4 primaries that could influence general election dynamics on November 3 amid national midterm trends. Late scandals or shifts in turnout could alter odds, though structural advantages favor the incumbent.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKS-02 House Election Winner
KS-02 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,679 Обс.
88%
Democratic Party
$4,532 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Derek Schmidt's March filing for re-election, backed by a Trump endorsement, has solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP hold in Kansas' 2nd Congressional District, a Republican-leaning seat where he won convincingly in 2024 against Democrat Nancy Boyda. The district's partisan lean, historical voting patterns favoring Republicans, and lack of competitive polling underscore the uphill path for Democratic nominee Don Coover, a southeast Kansas veterinarian and Army veteran with limited name recognition or fundraising edge. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with attention now on August 4 primaries that could influence general election dynamics on November 3 amid national midterm trends. Late scandals or shifts in turnout could alter odds, though structural advantages favor the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,211Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Derek Schmidt's March filing for re-election, backed by a Trump endorsement, has solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP hold in Kansas' 2nd Congressional District, a Republican-leaning seat where he won convincingly in 2024 against Democrat Nancy Boyda. The district's partisan lean, historical voting patterns favoring Republicans, and lack of competitive polling underscore the uphill path for Democratic nominee Don Coover, a southeast Kansas veterinarian and Army veteran with limited name recognition or fundraising edge. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with attention now on August 4 primaries that could influence general election dynamics on November 3 amid national midterm trends. Late scandals or shifts in turnout could alter odds, though structural advantages favor the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$6,211Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Derek Schmidt's March filing for re-election, backed by a Trump endorsement, has solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP hold in Kansas' 2nd Congressional District, a Republican-leaning seat where he won convincingly in 2024 against Democrat Nancy Boyda. The district's partisan lean, historical voting patterns favoring Republicans, and lack of competitive polling underscore the uphill path for Democratic nominee Don Coover, a southeast Kansas veterinarian and Army veteran with limited name recognition or fundraising edge. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with attention now on August 4 primaries that could influence general election dynamics on November 3 amid national midterm trends. Late scandals or shifts in turnout could alter odds, though structural advantages favor the incumbent.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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