Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau point to scattered thunderstorms and showers persisting into August 25, with daytime highs near 33–35°C and overnight lows of 25–26°C amid high humidity and light winds in the Sichuan Basin. This keeps the most likely minimum temperature in the mid-20s°C range, consistent with late-August climatology modified by ongoing convective activity. The near-even split in market-implied odds between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflects residual forecast uncertainty around the strength and timing of any cooling from rainfall versus persistent warm, moist air masses, with new model runs and local observations expected to refine the overnight minimum ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 25?
30°C or higher 71%
20°C or below 68%
26°C 34%
25°C 31%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
68%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
31%
26°C
34%
27°C
28%
28°C
14%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
71%
30°C or higher 71%
20°C or below 68%
26°C 34%
25°C 31%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
$145 Обс.
68%
21°C
$145 Обс.
1%
22°C
$80 Обс.
2%
23°C
$0 Обс.
27%
24°C
$0 Обс.
27%
25°C
$0 Обс.
31%
26°C
$0 Обс.
34%
27°C
$0 Обс.
28%
28°C
$9 Обс.
14%
29°C
$5 Обс.
1%
30°C or higher
$70 Обс.
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau point to scattered thunderstorms and showers persisting into August 25, with daytime highs near 33–35°C and overnight lows of 25–26°C amid high humidity and light winds in the Sichuan Basin. This keeps the most likely minimum temperature in the mid-20s°C range, consistent with late-August climatology modified by ongoing convective activity. The near-even split in market-implied odds between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflects residual forecast uncertainty around the strength and timing of any cooling from rainfall versus persistent warm, moist air masses, with new model runs and local observations expected to refine the overnight minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$454Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau point to scattered thunderstorms and showers persisting into August 25, with daytime highs near 33–35°C and overnight lows of 25–26°C amid high humidity and light winds in the Sichuan Basin. This keeps the most likely minimum temperature in the mid-20s°C range, consistent with late-August climatology modified by ongoing convective activity. The near-even split in market-implied odds between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflects residual forecast uncertainty around the strength and timing of any cooling from rainfall versus persistent warm, moist air masses, with new model runs and local observations expected to refine the overnight minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$454Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau point to scattered thunderstorms and showers persisting into August 25, with daytime highs near 33–35°C and overnight lows of 25–26°C amid high humidity and light winds in the Sichuan Basin. This keeps the most likely minimum temperature in the mid-20s°C range, consistent with late-August climatology modified by ongoing convective activity. The near-even split in market-implied odds between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflects residual forecast uncertainty around the strength and timing of any cooling from rainfall versus persistent warm, moist air masses, with new model runs and local observations expected to refine the overnight minimum ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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