Trader consensus shows near-even implied probabilities between a minimum of 26°C or higher and 16°C or below for Chengdu on September 21, reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy to overcast skies. Persistent high humidity above 70% and light variable winds from recent regional patterns limit temperature drops, while model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum near 20–22°C amid stable high pressure. Recent cloudy conditions over the prior 48 hours have already produced warmer nocturnal temperatures than seasonal averages, narrowing the range and elevating specific outcomes around 21°C. Updated forecast runs and local observations in the next 12–24 hours will likely resolve the tight spread by clarifying cloud persistence and boundary-layer mixing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 21?
26°C or higher 95%
16°C or below 94%
20°C 39%
22°C 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
16°C or below
94%
17°C
31%
18°C
31%
19°C
31%
20°C
39%
21°C
33%
22°C
37%
23°C
31%
24°C
31%
25°C
31%
26°C or higher
95%
26°C or higher 95%
16°C or below 94%
20°C 39%
22°C 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Обс.
94%
17°C
$0 Обс.
31%
18°C
$0 Обс.
31%
19°C
$0 Обс.
31%
20°C
$0 Обс.
39%
21°C
$0 Обс.
33%
22°C
$0 Обс.
37%
23°C
$0 Обс.
31%
24°C
$0 Обс.
31%
25°C
$0 Обс.
31%
26°C or higher
$0 Обс.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows near-even implied probabilities between a minimum of 26°C or higher and 16°C or below for Chengdu on September 21, reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy to overcast skies. Persistent high humidity above 70% and light variable winds from recent regional patterns limit temperature drops, while model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum near 20–22°C amid stable high pressure. Recent cloudy conditions over the prior 48 hours have already produced warmer nocturnal temperatures than seasonal averages, narrowing the range and elevating specific outcomes around 21°C. Updated forecast runs and local observations in the next 12–24 hours will likely resolve the tight spread by clarifying cloud persistence and boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows near-even implied probabilities between a minimum of 26°C or higher and 16°C or below for Chengdu on September 21, reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy to overcast skies. Persistent high humidity above 70% and light variable winds from recent regional patterns limit temperature drops, while model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum near 20–22°C amid stable high pressure. Recent cloudy conditions over the prior 48 hours have already produced warmer nocturnal temperatures than seasonal averages, narrowing the range and elevating specific outcomes around 21°C. Updated forecast runs and local observations in the next 12–24 hours will likely resolve the tight spread by clarifying cloud persistence and boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows near-even implied probabilities between a minimum of 26°C or higher and 16°C or below for Chengdu on September 21, reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy to overcast skies. Persistent high humidity above 70% and light variable winds from recent regional patterns limit temperature drops, while model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum near 20–22°C amid stable high pressure. Recent cloudy conditions over the prior 48 hours have already produced warmer nocturnal temperatures than seasonal averages, narrowing the range and elevating specific outcomes around 21°C. Updated forecast runs and local observations in the next 12–24 hours will likely resolve the tight spread by clarifying cloud persistence and boundary-layer mixing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання