Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 20 near 17–22 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and modest humidity. This range reflects typical late-September cooling from the seasonal baseline of 18–20 °C lows, tempered by persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Trader positioning shows near-even implied odds between outcomes at or below 16 °C and exactly 21 °C because ensemble guidance diverges on the precise nocturnal minimum, with some runs holding temperatures above 20 °C while others allow brief dips into the upper teens amid variable steering flow. No strong cold-air advection or precipitation event is expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 20?
16°C or below 75%
26°C or higher 67%
21°C 45%
17°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
16°C or below
75%
17°C
39%
18°C
38%
19°C
39%
20°C
22%
21°C
45%
22°C
22%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C or higher
67%
16°C or below 75%
26°C or higher 67%
21°C 45%
17°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Обс.
75%
17°C
$0 Обс.
39%
18°C
$0 Обс.
38%
19°C
$0 Обс.
39%
20°C
$0 Обс.
22%
21°C
$18 Обс.
45%
22°C
$0 Обс.
22%
23°C
$0 Обс.
39%
24°C
$0 Обс.
39%
25°C
$0 Обс.
39%
26°C or higher
$0 Обс.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 20 near 17–22 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and modest humidity. This range reflects typical late-September cooling from the seasonal baseline of 18–20 °C lows, tempered by persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Trader positioning shows near-even implied odds between outcomes at or below 16 °C and exactly 21 °C because ensemble guidance diverges on the precise nocturnal minimum, with some runs holding temperatures above 20 °C while others allow brief dips into the upper teens amid variable steering flow. No strong cold-air advection or precipitation event is expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$18Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 20 near 17–22 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and modest humidity. This range reflects typical late-September cooling from the seasonal baseline of 18–20 °C lows, tempered by persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Trader positioning shows near-even implied odds between outcomes at or below 16 °C and exactly 21 °C because ensemble guidance diverges on the precise nocturnal minimum, with some runs holding temperatures above 20 °C while others allow brief dips into the upper teens amid variable steering flow. No strong cold-air advection or precipitation event is expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$18Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 20 near 17–22 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and modest humidity. This range reflects typical late-September cooling from the seasonal baseline of 18–20 °C lows, tempered by persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Trader positioning shows near-even implied odds between outcomes at or below 16 °C and exactly 21 °C because ensemble guidance diverges on the precise nocturnal minimum, with some runs holding temperatures above 20 °C while others allow brief dips into the upper teens amid variable steering flow. No strong cold-air advection or precipitation event is expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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