Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project overnight lows of 24–27°C for Jinan on August 25 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms and light southerly winds. These conditions, typical of late-summer monsoon influences, limit radiative cooling and maintain elevated minimum temperatures well above seasonal averages near 21–23°C. The strong trader consensus on 22°C or higher reflects this model agreement and the absence of any incoming cold front or clear-sky radiational cooling that could drop readings into the teens. Recent stability in upper-level patterns has kept probabilities for 18–21°C ranges secondary, while sub-17°C outcomes remain negligible given historical August data and ongoing heat retention. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term catalyst.