Recent official forecasts from Italian meteorological services and global models (GFS/ECMWF) indicate overnight lows for Milan on August 25 in the 19–22°C range, with scattered showers and moderate easterly winds limiting radiative cooling under humid conditions (dew points near 18°C). This supports the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around 15–20°C, where subtle differences in cloud cover timing, precipitation intensity, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Recent cooling from the August 22 low of 16.2°C reflects transient instability, yet the broader late-summer pattern favors values near or slightly above seasonal normals without strong cold advection expected before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Milan on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 25?
19°C 28%
18°C 28%
20°C 28%
17°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
14°C or below
19%
15°C
22%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
28%
19°C
28%
20°C
28%
21°C
24%
22°C
8%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
18%
19°C 28%
18°C 28%
20°C 28%
17°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
14°C or below
$30 Обс.
19%
15°C
$0 Обс.
22%
16°C
$0 Обс.
26%
17°C
$0 Обс.
27%
18°C
$0 Обс.
28%
19°C
$0 Обс.
28%
20°C
$0 Обс.
28%
21°C
$4 Обс.
24%
22°C
$5 Обс.
8%
23°C
$5 Обс.
7%
24°C or higher
$30 Обс.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Italian meteorological services and global models (GFS/ECMWF) indicate overnight lows for Milan on August 25 in the 19–22°C range, with scattered showers and moderate easterly winds limiting radiative cooling under humid conditions (dew points near 18°C). This supports the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around 15–20°C, where subtle differences in cloud cover timing, precipitation intensity, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Recent cooling from the August 22 low of 16.2°C reflects transient instability, yet the broader late-summer pattern favors values near or slightly above seasonal normals without strong cold advection expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$74Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Italian meteorological services and global models (GFS/ECMWF) indicate overnight lows for Milan on August 25 in the 19–22°C range, with scattered showers and moderate easterly winds limiting radiative cooling under humid conditions (dew points near 18°C). This supports the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around 15–20°C, where subtle differences in cloud cover timing, precipitation intensity, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Recent cooling from the August 22 low of 16.2°C reflects transient instability, yet the broader late-summer pattern favors values near or slightly above seasonal normals without strong cold advection expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$74Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Italian meteorological services and global models (GFS/ECMWF) indicate overnight lows for Milan on August 25 in the 19–22°C range, with scattered showers and moderate easterly winds limiting radiative cooling under humid conditions (dew points near 18°C). This supports the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around 15–20°C, where subtle differences in cloud cover timing, precipitation intensity, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Recent cooling from the August 22 low of 16.2°C reflects transient instability, yet the broader late-summer pattern favors values near or slightly above seasonal normals without strong cold advection expected before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання