Current weather models from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts indicate overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City on August 3, 2026, driven by typical early-August atmospheric conditions with high humidity, light winds, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. These factors position 74–77°F as the market consensus range, aligning with climatological baselines where NYC August minima average near 70°F but often moderate upward amid summer warmth without strong cold fronts. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no major shifts from subtropical high pressure, supporting the 47.5% implied probability on 74–75°F while leaving room for slight revisions if new guidance alters dew points or cloud cover.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on August 3?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 3?
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 31%
78-79°F 13%
72-73°F 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
45%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 31%
78-79°F 13%
72-73°F 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
65°F or below
$95 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$25 Обс.
1%
68-69°F
$154 Обс.
2%
70-71°F
$130 Обс.
7%
72-73°F
$154 Обс.
12%
74-75°F
$535 Обс.
45%
76-77°F
$114 Обс.
31%
78-79°F
$103 Обс.
13%
80-81°F
$1,018 Обс.
6%
82-83°F
$675 Обс.
1%
84°F or higher
$90 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather models from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts indicate overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City on August 3, 2026, driven by typical early-August atmospheric conditions with high humidity, light winds, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. These factors position 74–77°F as the market consensus range, aligning with climatological baselines where NYC August minima average near 70°F but often moderate upward amid summer warmth without strong cold fronts. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no major shifts from subtropical high pressure, supporting the 47.5% implied probability on 74–75°F while leaving room for slight revisions if new guidance alters dew points or cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,094Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather models from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts indicate overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City on August 3, 2026, driven by typical early-August atmospheric conditions with high humidity, light winds, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. These factors position 74–77°F as the market consensus range, aligning with climatological baselines where NYC August minima average near 70°F but often moderate upward amid summer warmth without strong cold fronts. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no major shifts from subtropical high pressure, supporting the 47.5% implied probability on 74–75°F while leaving room for slight revisions if new guidance alters dew points or cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,094Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current weather models from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts indicate overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s°F for New York City on August 3, 2026, driven by typical early-August atmospheric conditions with high humidity, light winds, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. These factors position 74–77°F as the market consensus range, aligning with climatological baselines where NYC August minima average near 70°F but often moderate upward amid summer warmth without strong cold fronts. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no major shifts from subtropical high pressure, supporting the 47.5% implied probability on 74–75°F while leaving room for slight revisions if new guidance alters dew points or cloud cover.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання