Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a daily minimum around 25–26°C for Qingdao on August 25, driven by southerly flow, partly cloudy to clear skies, and persistent marine moderation from the Yellow Sea. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity from prior rainfall episodes limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated relative to the long-term August average of ~23°C. Market-implied probabilities favor 22°C or below (44%) alongside 25–27°C bands because short-range ensemble spreads still allow for stronger onshore winds or residual cloud cover that could enhance cooling, while warmer outcomes above 30°C remain discounted absent major subtropical ridge shifts. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 25?
32°C or higher 48%
30°C 45%
22°C or below 42%
26°C 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
42%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
22%
29°C
2%
30°C
45%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
48%
32°C or higher 48%
30°C 45%
22°C or below 42%
26°C 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$72 Обс.
42%
23°C
$0 Обс.
25%
24°C
$0 Обс.
25%
25°C
$0 Обс.
27%
26°C
$0 Обс.
28%
27°C
$0 Обс.
27%
28°C
$5 Обс.
22%
29°C
$5 Обс.
2%
30°C
$5 Обс.
45%
31°C
$109 Обс.
22%
32°C or higher
$5 Обс.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a daily minimum around 25–26°C for Qingdao on August 25, driven by southerly flow, partly cloudy to clear skies, and persistent marine moderation from the Yellow Sea. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity from prior rainfall episodes limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated relative to the long-term August average of ~23°C. Market-implied probabilities favor 22°C or below (44%) alongside 25–27°C bands because short-range ensemble spreads still allow for stronger onshore winds or residual cloud cover that could enhance cooling, while warmer outcomes above 30°C remain discounted absent major subtropical ridge shifts. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$201Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a daily minimum around 25–26°C for Qingdao on August 25, driven by southerly flow, partly cloudy to clear skies, and persistent marine moderation from the Yellow Sea. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity from prior rainfall episodes limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated relative to the long-term August average of ~23°C. Market-implied probabilities favor 22°C or below (44%) alongside 25–27°C bands because short-range ensemble spreads still allow for stronger onshore winds or residual cloud cover that could enhance cooling, while warmer outcomes above 30°C remain discounted absent major subtropical ridge shifts. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$201Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a daily minimum around 25–26°C for Qingdao on August 25, driven by southerly flow, partly cloudy to clear skies, and persistent marine moderation from the Yellow Sea. Coastal sea breezes and high humidity from prior rainfall episodes limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated relative to the long-term August average of ~23°C. Market-implied probabilities favor 22°C or below (44%) alongside 25–27°C bands because short-range ensemble spreads still allow for stronger onshore winds or residual cloud cover that could enhance cooling, while warmer outcomes above 30°C remain discounted absent major subtropical ridge shifts. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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