Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 3 most likely between 24–27°C, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 75–85%, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Forecast ensembles show variability from lingering cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can raise overnight lows by 1–2°C compared to clearer conditions, while stronger winds may enhance mixing and slight cooling. Historical early-September baselines near 24°C provide context, yet current guidance from multiple sources clusters around 25–26°C, supporting the market's dispersed probabilities across 24–28°C outcomes. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 3?
26°C 52%
27°C 24%
25°C 21%
29°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
22°C or below
15%
23°C
10%
24°C
12%
25°C
21%
26°C
52%
27°C
24%
28°C
15%
29°C
20%
30°C
14%
31°C
10%
32°C or higher
8%
26°C 52%
27°C 24%
25°C 21%
29°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Обс.
15%
23°C
$20 Обс.
10%
24°C
$0 Обс.
12%
25°C
$0 Обс.
21%
26°C
$12 Обс.
52%
27°C
$0 Обс.
24%
28°C
$0 Обс.
15%
29°C
$5 Обс.
20%
30°C
$5 Обс.
14%
31°C
$5 Обс.
10%
32°C or higher
$5 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 3 most likely between 24–27°C, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 75–85%, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Forecast ensembles show variability from lingering cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can raise overnight lows by 1–2°C compared to clearer conditions, while stronger winds may enhance mixing and slight cooling. Historical early-September baselines near 24°C provide context, yet current guidance from multiple sources clusters around 25–26°C, supporting the market's dispersed probabilities across 24–28°C outcomes. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$57Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 3 most likely between 24–27°C, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 75–85%, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Forecast ensembles show variability from lingering cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can raise overnight lows by 1–2°C compared to clearer conditions, while stronger winds may enhance mixing and slight cooling. Historical early-September baselines near 24°C provide context, yet current guidance from multiple sources clusters around 25–26°C, supporting the market's dispersed probabilities across 24–28°C outcomes. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$57Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 3 most likely between 24–27°C, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 75–85%, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Forecast ensembles show variability from lingering cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can raise overnight lows by 1–2°C compared to clearer conditions, while stronger winds may enhance mixing and slight cooling. Historical early-September baselines near 24°C provide context, yet current guidance from multiple sources clusters around 25–26°C, supporting the market's dispersed probabilities across 24–28°C outcomes. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання