**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C low in Shenzhen on September 8, 2026, with 90% implied probability.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international models, converge on an overnight minimum of 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and light winds. Shenzhen’s subtropical September climate typically features nighttime lows in the mid-20s°C, and current conditions—high humidity near 70–90%, dew points around 24–25°C, and no strong cold advection—support stability near this threshold. Model runs show minimal disagreement on the daily minimum, with resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Any late-evening cooling or unexpected clear skies could edge readings toward 26°C, but prevailing patterns keep 27°C as the dominant outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 8?
27°C 99%
25°C 3%
26°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
$1,922 Обс.
$1,922 Обс.
Sep 8, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 99%
25°C 3%
26°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
$1,922 Обс.
$1,922 Обс.
Sep 8, 2026
22°C or below
$134 Обс.
No
23°C
$90 Обс.
No
24°C
$125 Обс.
No
25°C
$88 Обс.
No
26°C
$96 Обс.
No
27°C
$314 Обс.
Yes
28°C
$75 Обс.
No
29°C
$55 Обс.
No
30°C
$55 Обс.
No
31°C
$810 Обс.
No
32°C or higher
$80 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C low in Shenzhen on September 8, 2026, with 90% implied probability.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international models, converge on an overnight minimum of 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and light winds. Shenzhen’s subtropical September climate typically features nighttime lows in the mid-20s°C, and current conditions—high humidity near 70–90%, dew points around 24–25°C, and no strong cold advection—support stability near this threshold. Model runs show minimal disagreement on the daily minimum, with resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Any late-evening cooling or unexpected clear skies could edge readings toward 26°C, but prevailing patterns keep 27°C as the dominant outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,922Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C low in Shenzhen on September 8, 2026, with 90% implied probability.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international models, converge on an overnight minimum of 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and light winds. Shenzhen’s subtropical September climate typically features nighttime lows in the mid-20s°C, and current conditions—high humidity near 70–90%, dew points around 24–25°C, and no strong cold advection—support stability near this threshold. Model runs show minimal disagreement on the daily minimum, with resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Any late-evening cooling or unexpected clear skies could edge readings toward 26°C, but prevailing patterns keep 27°C as the dominant outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,922Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C low in Shenzhen on September 8, 2026, with 90% implied probability.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international models, converge on an overnight minimum of 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and light winds. Shenzhen’s subtropical September climate typically features nighttime lows in the mid-20s°C, and current conditions—high humidity near 70–90%, dew points around 24–25°C, and no strong cold advection—support stability near this threshold. Model runs show minimal disagreement on the daily minimum, with resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Any late-evening cooling or unexpected clear skies could edge readings toward 26°C, but prevailing patterns keep 27°C as the dominant outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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