Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen on September 9, 2026, converge on overnight lows of 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with evening showers, consistent with climatological September norms of roughly 24 °C minimums. Trader positioning remains closely split because small variations in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and boundary-layer winds can shift the exact minimum by 2–3 °C through differences in radiational cooling efficiency and moisture retention. High humidity and light easterly flow limit strong nocturnal temperature drops, while any clearer intervals could briefly push readings toward the lower 20s; conversely, persistent cloud or rain would favor the upper 20s. Updated model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles, plus hourly observations through the night of September 8–9, will be the next key inputs likely to narrow the distribution of market-implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
22°C or below 69%
32°C or higher 59%
26°C 50%
23°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
22°C or below
69%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
59%
22°C or below 69%
32°C or higher 59%
26°C 50%
23°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Обс.
69%
23°C
$0 Обс.
49%
24°C
$0 Обс.
49%
25°C
$0 Обс.
49%
26°C
$0 Обс.
50%
27°C
$0 Обс.
49%
28°C
$0 Обс.
49%
29°C
$0 Обс.
8%
30°C
$0 Обс.
19%
31°C
$0 Обс.
19%
32°C or higher
$0 Обс.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen on September 9, 2026, converge on overnight lows of 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with evening showers, consistent with climatological September norms of roughly 24 °C minimums. Trader positioning remains closely split because small variations in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and boundary-layer winds can shift the exact minimum by 2–3 °C through differences in radiational cooling efficiency and moisture retention. High humidity and light easterly flow limit strong nocturnal temperature drops, while any clearer intervals could briefly push readings toward the lower 20s; conversely, persistent cloud or rain would favor the upper 20s. Updated model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles, plus hourly observations through the night of September 8–9, will be the next key inputs likely to narrow the distribution of market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen on September 9, 2026, converge on overnight lows of 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with evening showers, consistent with climatological September norms of roughly 24 °C minimums. Trader positioning remains closely split because small variations in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and boundary-layer winds can shift the exact minimum by 2–3 °C through differences in radiational cooling efficiency and moisture retention. High humidity and light easterly flow limit strong nocturnal temperature drops, while any clearer intervals could briefly push readings toward the lower 20s; conversely, persistent cloud or rain would favor the upper 20s. Updated model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles, plus hourly observations through the night of September 8–9, will be the next key inputs likely to narrow the distribution of market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen on September 9, 2026, converge on overnight lows of 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with evening showers, consistent with climatological September norms of roughly 24 °C minimums. Trader positioning remains closely split because small variations in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and boundary-layer winds can shift the exact minimum by 2–3 °C through differences in radiational cooling efficiency and moisture retention. High humidity and light easterly flow limit strong nocturnal temperature drops, while any clearer intervals could briefly push readings toward the lower 20s; conversely, persistent cloud or rain would favor the upper 20s. Updated model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles, plus hourly observations through the night of September 8–9, will be the next key inputs likely to narrow the distribution of market-implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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