Traders are balancing National Weather Service and model guidance pointing to an overnight low near 79°F in Houston on September 9 against scenarios of reduced radiative cooling from persistent cloud cover or evening thunderstorms. Current forecasts show highs in the low 90s with 40-50% storm chances that could limit the typical 15-20°F diurnal drop under high humidity and light southeast winds. The 78-79°F bin leads at 40% implied probability as the most likely outcome per ensemble consensus, while the 35% on 90°F or higher captures low-probability cases of minimal overnight cooling. Recent days’ upper-70s to low-80s lows and the absence of strong frontal systems reinforce elevated odds above the 74°F climatological average, with final resolution hinging on tonight’s model updates and NWS point forecasts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Houston on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 9?
78-79°F 54%
90°F or higher 53%
80-81°F 27%
82-83°F 24%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
71°F or below
22%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
13%
90°F or higher
53%
78-79°F 54%
90°F or higher 53%
80-81°F 27%
82-83°F 24%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
71°F or below
$44 Обс.
22%
72-73°F
$12 Обс.
21%
74-75°F
$12 Обс.
21%
76-77°F
$12 Обс.
27%
78-79°F
$61 Обс.
40%
80-81°F
$111 Обс.
34%
82-83°F
$25 Обс.
24%
84-85°F
$29 Обс.
5%
86-87°F
$112 Обс.
8%
88-89°F
$52 Обс.
13%
90°F or higher
$30 Обс.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are balancing National Weather Service and model guidance pointing to an overnight low near 79°F in Houston on September 9 against scenarios of reduced radiative cooling from persistent cloud cover or evening thunderstorms. Current forecasts show highs in the low 90s with 40-50% storm chances that could limit the typical 15-20°F diurnal drop under high humidity and light southeast winds. The 78-79°F bin leads at 40% implied probability as the most likely outcome per ensemble consensus, while the 35% on 90°F or higher captures low-probability cases of minimal overnight cooling. Recent days’ upper-70s to low-80s lows and the absence of strong frontal systems reinforce elevated odds above the 74°F climatological average, with final resolution hinging on tonight’s model updates and NWS point forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 7, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$500Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 3:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are balancing National Weather Service and model guidance pointing to an overnight low near 79°F in Houston on September 9 against scenarios of reduced radiative cooling from persistent cloud cover or evening thunderstorms. Current forecasts show highs in the low 90s with 40-50% storm chances that could limit the typical 15-20°F diurnal drop under high humidity and light southeast winds. The 78-79°F bin leads at 40% implied probability as the most likely outcome per ensemble consensus, while the 35% on 90°F or higher captures low-probability cases of minimal overnight cooling. Recent days’ upper-70s to low-80s lows and the absence of strong frontal systems reinforce elevated odds above the 74°F climatological average, with final resolution hinging on tonight’s model updates and NWS point forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$500Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 3:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Traders are balancing National Weather Service and model guidance pointing to an overnight low near 79°F in Houston on September 9 against scenarios of reduced radiative cooling from persistent cloud cover or evening thunderstorms. Current forecasts show highs in the low 90s with 40-50% storm chances that could limit the typical 15-20°F diurnal drop under high humidity and light southeast winds. The 78-79°F bin leads at 40% implied probability as the most likely outcome per ensemble consensus, while the 35% on 90°F or higher captures low-probability cases of minimal overnight cooling. Recent days’ upper-70s to low-80s lows and the absence of strong frontal systems reinforce elevated odds above the 74°F climatological average, with final resolution hinging on tonight’s model updates and NWS point forecasts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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