Current forecasts for Warsaw indicate mild overnight conditions on September 3, with model consensus pointing to lows of 12–16°C under variable cloud cover and light westerly flow, consistent with early-autumn climatology where radiative cooling is moderated by residual warmth. This positions the minimum temperature near historical baselines of 10–12°C yet allows for upside if daytime heating lingers or downside if clearer skies enhance nocturnal heat loss. The near-even split between 19°C-or-higher and 9°C-or-below outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 11–14°C, reflects genuine short-term uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, wind mixing, and any late-arriving frontal passages that could shift minimums by several degrees before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 3?
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
19°C or higher 45%
12°C 30%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
9°C or below
7%
10°C
14%
11°C
27%
12°C
30%
13°C
29%
14°C
25%
15°C
25%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
45%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
19°C or higher 45%
12°C 30%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Обс.
7%
10°C
$0 Обс.
14%
11°C
$0 Обс.
27%
12°C
$0 Обс.
30%
13°C
$0 Обс.
29%
14°C
$0 Обс.
25%
15°C
$0 Обс.
25%
16°C
$5 Обс.
49%
17°C
$5 Обс.
49%
18°C
$5 Обс.
2%
19°C or higher
$5 Обс.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Warsaw indicate mild overnight conditions on September 3, with model consensus pointing to lows of 12–16°C under variable cloud cover and light westerly flow, consistent with early-autumn climatology where radiative cooling is moderated by residual warmth. This positions the minimum temperature near historical baselines of 10–12°C yet allows for upside if daytime heating lingers or downside if clearer skies enhance nocturnal heat loss. The near-even split between 19°C-or-higher and 9°C-or-below outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 11–14°C, reflects genuine short-term uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, wind mixing, and any late-arriving frontal passages that could shift minimums by several degrees before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$20Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Warsaw indicate mild overnight conditions on September 3, with model consensus pointing to lows of 12–16°C under variable cloud cover and light westerly flow, consistent with early-autumn climatology where radiative cooling is moderated by residual warmth. This positions the minimum temperature near historical baselines of 10–12°C yet allows for upside if daytime heating lingers or downside if clearer skies enhance nocturnal heat loss. The near-even split between 19°C-or-higher and 9°C-or-below outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 11–14°C, reflects genuine short-term uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, wind mixing, and any late-arriving frontal passages that could shift minimums by several degrees before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$20Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Warsaw indicate mild overnight conditions on September 3, with model consensus pointing to lows of 12–16°C under variable cloud cover and light westerly flow, consistent with early-autumn climatology where radiative cooling is moderated by residual warmth. This positions the minimum temperature near historical baselines of 10–12°C yet allows for upside if daytime heating lingers or downside if clearer skies enhance nocturnal heat loss. The near-even split between 19°C-or-higher and 9°C-or-below outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 11–14°C, reflects genuine short-term uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, wind mixing, and any late-arriving frontal passages that could shift minimums by several degrees before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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