Trader sentiment for Warsaw's September 2 minimum temperature shows high uncertainty, with 14°C and 19°C-or-higher outcomes each at 50% implied probability amid closely matched alternatives. Short-range numerical weather prediction models exhibit divergence driven by evolving synoptic patterns, such as potential high-pressure ridging that enhances nocturnal radiative cooling versus warmer southerly advection. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer stability, cloud-cover duration, and surface wind speeds, which control the diurnal temperature range and minimum values on the Celsius scale. Recent surface observations and satellite data continue to inform ensemble forecasts from sources like ECMWF and GFS, with the next model cycles likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 2?
11°C 100%
12°C 100%
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
9°C or below
12%
10°C
83%
11°C
100%
12°C
100%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
26%
16°C
100%
17°C
14%
18°C
100%
19°C or higher
100%
11°C 100%
12°C 100%
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Обс.
12%
10°C
$69 Обс.
83%
11°C
$0 Обс.
100%
12°C
$0 Обс.
100%
13°C
$0 Обс.
100%
14°C
$0 Обс.
100%
15°C
$0 Обс.
26%
16°C
$15 Обс.
100%
17°C
$20 Обс.
14%
18°C
$5 Обс.
100%
19°C or higher
$5 Обс.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Warsaw's September 2 minimum temperature shows high uncertainty, with 14°C and 19°C-or-higher outcomes each at 50% implied probability amid closely matched alternatives. Short-range numerical weather prediction models exhibit divergence driven by evolving synoptic patterns, such as potential high-pressure ridging that enhances nocturnal radiative cooling versus warmer southerly advection. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer stability, cloud-cover duration, and surface wind speeds, which control the diurnal temperature range and minimum values on the Celsius scale. Recent surface observations and satellite data continue to inform ensemble forecasts from sources like ECMWF and GFS, with the next model cycles likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$119Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Warsaw's September 2 minimum temperature shows high uncertainty, with 14°C and 19°C-or-higher outcomes each at 50% implied probability amid closely matched alternatives. Short-range numerical weather prediction models exhibit divergence driven by evolving synoptic patterns, such as potential high-pressure ridging that enhances nocturnal radiative cooling versus warmer southerly advection. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer stability, cloud-cover duration, and surface wind speeds, which control the diurnal temperature range and minimum values on the Celsius scale. Recent surface observations and satellite data continue to inform ensemble forecasts from sources like ECMWF and GFS, with the next model cycles likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$119Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Warsaw's September 2 minimum temperature shows high uncertainty, with 14°C and 19°C-or-higher outcomes each at 50% implied probability amid closely matched alternatives. Short-range numerical weather prediction models exhibit divergence driven by evolving synoptic patterns, such as potential high-pressure ridging that enhances nocturnal radiative cooling versus warmer southerly advection. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer stability, cloud-cover duration, and surface wind speeds, which control the diurnal temperature range and minimum values on the Celsius scale. Recent surface observations and satellite data continue to inform ensemble forecasts from sources like ECMWF and GFS, with the next model cycles likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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