Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high-pressure system (around 1019 hPa) building over Warsaw with clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and light westerly winds, supporting maximum temperatures near 22–23°C on September 2. Model consensus points to daytime peaks in this narrow range under stable anticyclonic conditions typical for early September, following cooler, showery weather on September 1. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 23°C and 33% for 22°C, aligns with this guidance while accounting for minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key data points that could refine these near-term odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 2?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 2?
23°C 47%
22°C 33%
24°C 14%
21°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
33%
23°C
47%
24°C
14%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 47%
22°C 33%
24°C 14%
21°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
$158 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$16 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$76 Обс.
1%
20°C
$73 Обс.
3%
21°C
$461 Обс.
10%
22°C
$244 Обс.
33%
23°C
$547 Обс.
47%
24°C
$57 Обс.
14%
25°C
$204 Обс.
3%
26°C
$96 Обс.
<1%
27°C or higher
$154 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high-pressure system (around 1019 hPa) building over Warsaw with clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and light westerly winds, supporting maximum temperatures near 22–23°C on September 2. Model consensus points to daytime peaks in this narrow range under stable anticyclonic conditions typical for early September, following cooler, showery weather on September 1. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 23°C and 33% for 22°C, aligns with this guidance while accounting for minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key data points that could refine these near-term odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,086Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high-pressure system (around 1019 hPa) building over Warsaw with clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and light westerly winds, supporting maximum temperatures near 22–23°C on September 2. Model consensus points to daytime peaks in this narrow range under stable anticyclonic conditions typical for early September, following cooler, showery weather on September 1. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 23°C and 33% for 22°C, aligns with this guidance while accounting for minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key data points that could refine these near-term odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,086Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high-pressure system (around 1019 hPa) building over Warsaw with clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and light westerly winds, supporting maximum temperatures near 22–23°C on September 2. Model consensus points to daytime peaks in this narrow range under stable anticyclonic conditions typical for early September, following cooler, showery weather on September 1. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 23°C and 33% for 22°C, aligns with this guidance while accounting for minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key data points that could refine these near-term odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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