Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance shows Austin highs on September 2 centered near 99–100 °F under continued southerly flow and strong solar heating, consistent with the market’s near-even split between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Persistent high pressure and low morning dew-point spreads favor rapid temperature rise after sunrise, while modest afternoon cumulus development or slight steering-flow adjustments can shave or add a degree or two at peak. Historical climatology places the early-September average around 94 °F, so the current warm anomaly reflects both late-summer persistence and limited frontal influence through the short-range window; updated 12z runs and any observed cloud trends will be the next key inputs for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on September 2?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 2?
92-93°F 99%
104-105°F 98%
106°F or higher 98.0%
94-95°F 85.9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
99%
94-95°F
86%
96-97°F
40%
98-99°F
78%
100-101°F
60%
102-103°F
-
104-105°F
98%
106°F or higher
98%
92-93°F 99%
104-105°F 98%
106°F or higher 98.0%
94-95°F 85.9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
87°F or below
$491 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$17 Обс.
12%
90-91°F
$5 Обс.
32%
92-93°F
$26 Обс.
99%
94-95°F
$101 Обс.
86%
96-97°F
$13 Обс.
40%
98-99°F
$136 Обс.
78%
100-101°F
$15 Обс.
60%
102-103°F
$8 Обс.
-
104-105°F
$15 Обс.
98%
106°F or higher
$5 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance shows Austin highs on September 2 centered near 99–100 °F under continued southerly flow and strong solar heating, consistent with the market’s near-even split between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Persistent high pressure and low morning dew-point spreads favor rapid temperature rise after sunrise, while modest afternoon cumulus development or slight steering-flow adjustments can shave or add a degree or two at peak. Historical climatology places the early-September average around 94 °F, so the current warm anomaly reflects both late-summer persistence and limited frontal influence through the short-range window; updated 12z runs and any observed cloud trends will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$832Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance shows Austin highs on September 2 centered near 99–100 °F under continued southerly flow and strong solar heating, consistent with the market’s near-even split between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Persistent high pressure and low morning dew-point spreads favor rapid temperature rise after sunrise, while modest afternoon cumulus development or slight steering-flow adjustments can shave or add a degree or two at peak. Historical climatology places the early-September average around 94 °F, so the current warm anomaly reflects both late-summer persistence and limited frontal influence through the short-range window; updated 12z runs and any observed cloud trends will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$832Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance shows Austin highs on September 2 centered near 99–100 °F under continued southerly flow and strong solar heating, consistent with the market’s near-even split between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Persistent high pressure and low morning dew-point spreads favor rapid temperature rise after sunrise, while modest afternoon cumulus development or slight steering-flow adjustments can shave or add a degree or two at peak. Historical climatology places the early-September average around 94 °F, so the current warm anomaly reflects both late-summer persistence and limited frontal influence through the short-range window; updated 12z runs and any observed cloud trends will be the next key inputs for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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