Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a southerly wind shift overnight on September 16, 2026, advecting cooler maritime air into Wellington and limiting radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and showers. This setup supports a minimum near 11–12 °C, with the tight market spread between those two outcomes reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing of the wind change and any localized showers that could suppress the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Strong northwesterlies earlier in the period have kept daytime temperatures elevated around 14–17 °C, but the incoming southeasterly flow and associated frontal passage introduce variability in the minimum reading recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the night will clarify whether the low settles at 12 °C or dips to 11 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wellington on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 16?
7°C or below 95%
9°C 90%
10°C 90%
12°C 51%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
7°C or below
95%
8°C
44%
9°C
90%
10°C
90%
11°C
50%
12°C
51%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
7°C or below 95%
9°C 90%
10°C 90%
12°C 51%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 16, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Обс.
95%
8°C
$32 Обс.
44%
9°C
$0 Обс.
90%
10°C
$58 Обс.
90%
11°C
$0 Обс.
50%
12°C
$0 Обс.
51%
13°C
$2,395 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$16 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$76 Обс.
<1%
17°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a southerly wind shift overnight on September 16, 2026, advecting cooler maritime air into Wellington and limiting radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and showers. This setup supports a minimum near 11–12 °C, with the tight market spread between those two outcomes reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing of the wind change and any localized showers that could suppress the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Strong northwesterlies earlier in the period have kept daytime temperatures elevated around 14–17 °C, but the incoming southeasterly flow and associated frontal passage introduce variability in the minimum reading recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the night will clarify whether the low settles at 12 °C or dips to 11 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,577Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a southerly wind shift overnight on September 16, 2026, advecting cooler maritime air into Wellington and limiting radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and showers. This setup supports a minimum near 11–12 °C, with the tight market spread between those two outcomes reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing of the wind change and any localized showers that could suppress the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Strong northwesterlies earlier in the period have kept daytime temperatures elevated around 14–17 °C, but the incoming southeasterly flow and associated frontal passage introduce variability in the minimum reading recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the night will clarify whether the low settles at 12 °C or dips to 11 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,577Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a southerly wind shift overnight on September 16, 2026, advecting cooler maritime air into Wellington and limiting radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and showers. This setup supports a minimum near 11–12 °C, with the tight market spread between those two outcomes reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing of the wind change and any localized showers that could suppress the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Strong northwesterlies earlier in the period have kept daytime temperatures elevated around 14–17 °C, but the incoming southeasterly flow and associated frontal passage introduce variability in the minimum reading recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the night will clarify whether the low settles at 12 °C or dips to 11 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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