Current forecast models from multiple agencies point to a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Cape Town on September 18 under clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds. These conditions favor nocturnal radiative cooling from the surface while limiting extreme lows through atmospheric mixing. Recent clearing after earlier showers has stabilized the pattern, with high pressure supporting dry, stable air. Small differences in projected wind speeds or residual moisture could shift the actual low across the 11–14°C range, producing the near-even market-implied odds across thresholds as traders weigh model consensus against typical spring variability driven by the Benguela Current and Atlantic influences. Updated model runs expected in the next 24 hours may refine these details ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 18?
6°C or below 98%
16°C or higher 97%
10°C 40%
7°C 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
6°C or below
98%
7°C
38%
8°C
37%
9°C
38%
10°C
40%
11°C
24%
12°C
31%
13°C
37%
14°C
38%
15°C
38%
16°C or higher
97%
6°C or below 98%
16°C or higher 97%
10°C 40%
7°C 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Обс.
98%
7°C
$0 Обс.
38%
8°C
$0 Обс.
37%
9°C
$0 Обс.
38%
10°C
$0 Обс.
40%
11°C
$0 Обс.
24%
12°C
$0 Обс.
31%
13°C
$0 Обс.
37%
14°C
$0 Обс.
38%
15°C
$0 Обс.
38%
16°C or higher
$0 Обс.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from multiple agencies point to a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Cape Town on September 18 under clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds. These conditions favor nocturnal radiative cooling from the surface while limiting extreme lows through atmospheric mixing. Recent clearing after earlier showers has stabilized the pattern, with high pressure supporting dry, stable air. Small differences in projected wind speeds or residual moisture could shift the actual low across the 11–14°C range, producing the near-even market-implied odds across thresholds as traders weigh model consensus against typical spring variability driven by the Benguela Current and Atlantic influences. Updated model runs expected in the next 24 hours may refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from multiple agencies point to a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Cape Town on September 18 under clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds. These conditions favor nocturnal radiative cooling from the surface while limiting extreme lows through atmospheric mixing. Recent clearing after earlier showers has stabilized the pattern, with high pressure supporting dry, stable air. Small differences in projected wind speeds or residual moisture could shift the actual low across the 11–14°C range, producing the near-even market-implied odds across thresholds as traders weigh model consensus against typical spring variability driven by the Benguela Current and Atlantic influences. Updated model runs expected in the next 24 hours may refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from multiple agencies point to a minimum temperature near 12–13°C in Cape Town on September 18 under clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds. These conditions favor nocturnal radiative cooling from the surface while limiting extreme lows through atmospheric mixing. Recent clearing after earlier showers has stabilized the pattern, with high pressure supporting dry, stable air. Small differences in projected wind speeds or residual moisture could shift the actual low across the 11–14°C range, producing the near-even market-implied odds across thresholds as traders weigh model consensus against typical spring variability driven by the Benguela Current and Atlantic influences. Updated model runs expected in the next 24 hours may refine these details ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання