Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on September 18 will likely fall in the 15–19°C range amid northeasterly flow and variable cloud cover, supporting the near-even market-implied odds near 50% for 13°C or below versus 23°C or higher. Nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies could push lows lower, while increased moisture and showers may limit overnight drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation. Historical September minima average near 17°C, with current sea surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara providing a moderating influence. Traders appear focused on the next model runs and observational updates for confirmation of cloud trends and wind speed, which will determine whether the daily low resolves toward cooler or milder thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 18?
13°C or below 100%
23°C or higher 98%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
13°C or below
100%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C or higher
98%
13°C or below 100%
23°C or higher 98%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
14°C
$0 Обс.
40%
15°C
$0 Обс.
40%
16°C
$0 Обс.
40%
17°C
$0 Обс.
40%
18°C
$0 Обс.
40%
19°C
$0 Обс.
40%
20°C
$0 Обс.
40%
21°C
$0 Обс.
40%
22°C
$0 Обс.
40%
23°C or higher
$0 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on September 18 will likely fall in the 15–19°C range amid northeasterly flow and variable cloud cover, supporting the near-even market-implied odds near 50% for 13°C or below versus 23°C or higher. Nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies could push lows lower, while increased moisture and showers may limit overnight drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation. Historical September minima average near 17°C, with current sea surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara providing a moderating influence. Traders appear focused on the next model runs and observational updates for confirmation of cloud trends and wind speed, which will determine whether the daily low resolves toward cooler or milder thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on September 18 will likely fall in the 15–19°C range amid northeasterly flow and variable cloud cover, supporting the near-even market-implied odds near 50% for 13°C or below versus 23°C or higher. Nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies could push lows lower, while increased moisture and showers may limit overnight drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation. Historical September minima average near 17°C, with current sea surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara providing a moderating influence. Traders appear focused on the next model runs and observational updates for confirmation of cloud trends and wind speed, which will determine whether the daily low resolves toward cooler or milder thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on September 18 will likely fall in the 15–19°C range amid northeasterly flow and variable cloud cover, supporting the near-even market-implied odds near 50% for 13°C or below versus 23°C or higher. Nocturnal radiative cooling under clearer skies could push lows lower, while increased moisture and showers may limit overnight drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation. Historical September minima average near 17°C, with current sea surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara providing a moderating influence. Traders appear focused on the next model runs and observational updates for confirmation of cloud trends and wind speed, which will determine whether the daily low resolves toward cooler or milder thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання