**Persistent summer warmth and high humidity in Zhengzhou have kept overnight temperatures elevated, driving overwhelming market-implied odds (99.5%) for a daily low of 25°C or higher on August 26, 2026.** Current conditions and short-term forecasts from multiple sources indicate the mercury has remained in the mid-to-upper 20s°C through the night, with limited radiative cooling under humid, often overcast skies typical of late-August monsoon-influenced patterns. Historical August averages show lows near 22–23°C, but this episode reflects above-normal warmth, consistent with recent model consensus on a stable warm air mass and minimal diurnal range (highs 30–34°C). Traders’ strong positioning aligns with skin-in-the-game assessment of official forecasts projecting the lowest reading above the 25°C threshold. Only a sharp, unanticipated drop—such as rapid clearing skies enabling stronger nocturnal cooling—could realistically shift the outcome toward lower bins, though current observations and model guidance make such a reversal unlikely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 26?
25°C or higher 99.5%
24°C 8.6%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
$4,207 Обс.
$4,207 Обс.
Aug 26, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
9%
25°C or higher
100%
25°C or higher 99.5%
24°C 8.6%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
$4,207 Обс.
$4,207 Обс.
Aug 26, 2026
15°C or below
$419 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$90 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$90 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$90 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$115 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$30 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$769 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$892 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$919 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$594 Обс.
9%
25°C or higher
$198 Обс.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent summer warmth and high humidity in Zhengzhou have kept overnight temperatures elevated, driving overwhelming market-implied odds (99.5%) for a daily low of 25°C or higher on August 26, 2026.**
Current conditions and short-term forecasts from multiple sources indicate the mercury has remained in the mid-to-upper 20s°C through the night, with limited radiative cooling under humid, often overcast skies typical of late-August monsoon-influenced patterns. Historical August averages show lows near 22–23°C, but this episode reflects above-normal warmth, consistent with recent model consensus on a stable warm air mass and minimal diurnal range (highs 30–34°C).
Traders’ strong positioning aligns with skin-in-the-game assessment of official forecasts projecting the lowest reading above the 25°C threshold. Only a sharp, unanticipated drop—such as rapid clearing skies enabling stronger nocturnal cooling—could realistically shift the outcome toward lower bins, though current observations and model guidance make such a reversal unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,207Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent summer warmth and high humidity in Zhengzhou have kept overnight temperatures elevated, driving overwhelming market-implied odds (99.5%) for a daily low of 25°C or higher on August 26, 2026.**
Current conditions and short-term forecasts from multiple sources indicate the mercury has remained in the mid-to-upper 20s°C through the night, with limited radiative cooling under humid, often overcast skies typical of late-August monsoon-influenced patterns. Historical August averages show lows near 22–23°C, but this episode reflects above-normal warmth, consistent with recent model consensus on a stable warm air mass and minimal diurnal range (highs 30–34°C).
Traders’ strong positioning aligns with skin-in-the-game assessment of official forecasts projecting the lowest reading above the 25°C threshold. Only a sharp, unanticipated drop—such as rapid clearing skies enabling stronger nocturnal cooling—could realistically shift the outcome toward lower bins, though current observations and model guidance make such a reversal unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,207Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent summer warmth and high humidity in Zhengzhou have kept overnight temperatures elevated, driving overwhelming market-implied odds (99.5%) for a daily low of 25°C or higher on August 26, 2026.** Current conditions and short-term forecasts from multiple sources indicate the mercury has remained in the mid-to-upper 20s°C through the night, with limited radiative cooling under humid, often overcast skies typical of late-August monsoon-influenced patterns. Historical August averages show lows near 22–23°C, but this episode reflects above-normal warmth, consistent with recent model consensus on a stable warm air mass and minimal diurnal range (highs 30–34°C). Traders’ strong positioning aligns with skin-in-the-game assessment of official forecasts projecting the lowest reading above the 25°C threshold. Only a sharp, unanticipated drop—such as rapid clearing skies enabling stronger nocturnal cooling—could realistically shift the outcome toward lower bins, though current observations and model guidance make such a reversal unlikely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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