Recent observations and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services show Zhengzhou's overnight low stabilizing near 24°C amid cooling northerly flow and widespread cloud cover, with hourly readings and model consensus confirming this threshold rather than a deeper drop to 22–23°C. The market-implied 100% probability on 24°C reflects trader alignment with real-time surface data and regional guidance projecting minimal further cooling before sunrise on August 28. This positioning draws from established climatological patterns for late-August transitions in the North China Plain, where cold-air advection typically yields lows in the low-to-mid 20s°C. A modest revision in final verified minimums from the local station or an unforecasted clear-sky radiative cooling episode could still alter the recorded value.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 27?
24°C 100.0%
22°C 1.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
$3,483 Обс.
$3,483 Обс.
Aug 27, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
22°C 1.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
$3,483 Обс.
$3,483 Обс.
Aug 27, 2026
15°C or below
$158 Обс.
No
16°C
$69 Обс.
No
17°C
$158 Обс.
No
18°C
$119 Обс.
No
19°C
$65 Обс.
No
20°C
$142 Обс.
No
21°C
$132 Обс.
No
22°C
$100 Обс.
No
23°C
$921 Обс.
No
24°C
$1,523 Обс.
Yes
25°C or higher
$96 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services show Zhengzhou's overnight low stabilizing near 24°C amid cooling northerly flow and widespread cloud cover, with hourly readings and model consensus confirming this threshold rather than a deeper drop to 22–23°C. The market-implied 100% probability on 24°C reflects trader alignment with real-time surface data and regional guidance projecting minimal further cooling before sunrise on August 28. This positioning draws from established climatological patterns for late-August transitions in the North China Plain, where cold-air advection typically yields lows in the low-to-mid 20s°C. A modest revision in final verified minimums from the local station or an unforecasted clear-sky radiative cooling episode could still alter the recorded value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,483Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observations and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services show Zhengzhou's overnight low stabilizing near 24°C amid cooling northerly flow and widespread cloud cover, with hourly readings and model consensus confirming this threshold rather than a deeper drop to 22–23°C. The market-implied 100% probability on 24°C reflects trader alignment with real-time surface data and regional guidance projecting minimal further cooling before sunrise on August 28. This positioning draws from established climatological patterns for late-August transitions in the North China Plain, where cold-air advection typically yields lows in the low-to-mid 20s°C. A modest revision in final verified minimums from the local station or an unforecasted clear-sky radiative cooling episode could still alter the recorded value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,483Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent observations and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services show Zhengzhou's overnight low stabilizing near 24°C amid cooling northerly flow and widespread cloud cover, with hourly readings and model consensus confirming this threshold rather than a deeper drop to 22–23°C. The market-implied 100% probability on 24°C reflects trader alignment with real-time surface data and regional guidance projecting minimal further cooling before sunrise on August 28. This positioning draws from established climatological patterns for late-August transitions in the North China Plain, where cold-air advection typically yields lows in the low-to-mid 20s°C. A modest revision in final verified minimums from the local station or an unforecasted clear-sky radiative cooling episode could still alter the recorded value.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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