**Forecasts for Zhengzhou's daily maximum temperature on August 30, 2026, cluster tightly around 30–31°C, creating the close market-implied odds between the 30°C outcome (42%) and 32°C-or-higher (38%).** Multiple authoritative sources, including WeatherBug (~30.6°C / 87°F), WindBorne (31°C), Yr.no (30°C), and Met Office (33°C), show this narrow range amid partly cloudy conditions, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity that limits extreme heating or rapid cooling. Small differences in cloud timing, urban heat island effects in the city, or weak thunderstorm activity can easily shift the peak by 1–2°C, explaining why 31°C (29.5%) and 29°C (27.5%) also draw meaningful probability. Recent late-summer patterns in the region feature typical diurnal warming under variable cloud cover without strong synoptic forcing, keeping outcomes near climatological norms for late August while leaving room for model divergence on exact peak values. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent official guidance and ensemble spreads that favor 30–31°C as the base case.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 30?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 30?
31°C 26%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
34%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
49%
31°C 26%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$1,358 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$1,080 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$1,180 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$120 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$110 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$238 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$370 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$236 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$79 Обс.
34%
31°C
$28 Обс.
26%
32°C or higher
$111 Обс.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Zhengzhou's daily maximum temperature on August 30, 2026, cluster tightly around 30–31°C, creating the close market-implied odds between the 30°C outcome (42%) and 32°C-or-higher (38%).** Multiple authoritative sources, including WeatherBug (~30.6°C / 87°F), WindBorne (31°C), Yr.no (30°C), and Met Office (33°C), show this narrow range amid partly cloudy conditions, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity that limits extreme heating or rapid cooling.
Small differences in cloud timing, urban heat island effects in the city, or weak thunderstorm activity can easily shift the peak by 1–2°C, explaining why 31°C (29.5%) and 29°C (27.5%) also draw meaningful probability. Recent late-summer patterns in the region feature typical diurnal warming under variable cloud cover without strong synoptic forcing, keeping outcomes near climatological norms for late August while leaving room for model divergence on exact peak values. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent official guidance and ensemble spreads that favor 30–31°C as the base case.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,910Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Zhengzhou's daily maximum temperature on August 30, 2026, cluster tightly around 30–31°C, creating the close market-implied odds between the 30°C outcome (42%) and 32°C-or-higher (38%).** Multiple authoritative sources, including WeatherBug (~30.6°C / 87°F), WindBorne (31°C), Yr.no (30°C), and Met Office (33°C), show this narrow range amid partly cloudy conditions, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity that limits extreme heating or rapid cooling.
Small differences in cloud timing, urban heat island effects in the city, or weak thunderstorm activity can easily shift the peak by 1–2°C, explaining why 31°C (29.5%) and 29°C (27.5%) also draw meaningful probability. Recent late-summer patterns in the region feature typical diurnal warming under variable cloud cover without strong synoptic forcing, keeping outcomes near climatological norms for late August while leaving room for model divergence on exact peak values. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent official guidance and ensemble spreads that favor 30–31°C as the base case.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,910Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts for Zhengzhou's daily maximum temperature on August 30, 2026, cluster tightly around 30–31°C, creating the close market-implied odds between the 30°C outcome (42%) and 32°C-or-higher (38%).** Multiple authoritative sources, including WeatherBug (~30.6°C / 87°F), WindBorne (31°C), Yr.no (30°C), and Met Office (33°C), show this narrow range amid partly cloudy conditions, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity that limits extreme heating or rapid cooling. Small differences in cloud timing, urban heat island effects in the city, or weak thunderstorm activity can easily shift the peak by 1–2°C, explaining why 31°C (29.5%) and 29°C (27.5%) also draw meaningful probability. Recent late-summer patterns in the region feature typical diurnal warming under variable cloud cover without strong synoptic forcing, keeping outcomes near climatological norms for late August while leaving room for model divergence on exact peak values. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent official guidance and ensemble spreads that favor 30–31°C as the base case.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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