**Latest ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature of 21–22°C in Zhengzhou on August 31 under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, favoring radiational cooling consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows reach approximately 22°C.** August 2026 has run 1.8°C above the 26.4°C monthly normal, with recent overnight minima fluctuating 20–23°C amid variable humidity and minimal precipitation. These conditions, combined with model agreement on stable high pressure, underpin trader consensus reflected in the leading 47.5% implied probability for 25°C or higher alongside substantial weighting on the 21–22°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily minimum observation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31?
18°C 49%
15°C or below 47%
17°C 31%
21°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
15°C or below
47%
16°C
21%
17°C
31%
18°C
49%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
18°C 49%
15°C or below 47%
17°C 31%
21°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
15°C or below
$10 Обс.
47%
16°C
$275 Обс.
21%
17°C
$10 Обс.
31%
18°C
$15 Обс.
49%
19°C
$0 Обс.
26%
20°C
$0 Обс.
26%
21°C
$0 Обс.
27%
22°C
$0 Обс.
27%
23°C
$20 Обс.
1%
24°C
$15 Обс.
1%
25°C or higher
$161 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature of 21–22°C in Zhengzhou on August 31 under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, favoring radiational cooling consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows reach approximately 22°C.** August 2026 has run 1.8°C above the 26.4°C monthly normal, with recent overnight minima fluctuating 20–23°C amid variable humidity and minimal precipitation. These conditions, combined with model agreement on stable high pressure, underpin trader consensus reflected in the leading 47.5% implied probability for 25°C or higher alongside substantial weighting on the 21–22°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily minimum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$506Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature of 21–22°C in Zhengzhou on August 31 under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, favoring radiational cooling consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows reach approximately 22°C.** August 2026 has run 1.8°C above the 26.4°C monthly normal, with recent overnight minima fluctuating 20–23°C amid variable humidity and minimal precipitation. These conditions, combined with model agreement on stable high pressure, underpin trader consensus reflected in the leading 47.5% implied probability for 25°C or higher alongside substantial weighting on the 21–22°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily minimum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$506Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Latest ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature of 21–22°C in Zhengzhou on August 31 under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, favoring radiational cooling consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows reach approximately 22°C.** August 2026 has run 1.8°C above the 26.4°C monthly normal, with recent overnight minima fluctuating 20–23°C amid variable humidity and minimal precipitation. These conditions, combined with model agreement on stable high pressure, underpin trader consensus reflected in the leading 47.5% implied probability for 25°C or higher alongside substantial weighting on the 21–22°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the daily minimum observation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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