Recent numerical weather model consensus, including outputs aligned with GFS and ECMWF guidance, supports clear skies and daytime warming under northerly flow, positioning the highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31 at or above 32°C as the leading outcome. Official forecasts from multiple agencies project highs of 32–34°C following a brief cool-down earlier in the week, consistent with late-August climatology where Zhengzhou averages near 30–32°C. Trader-implied probability of 60% for 32°C or higher reflects this alignment of dry conditions and modest advection, though minor downward revisions in final observations from the China Meteorological Administration could still shift resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31?
32°C or higher 62%
30°C 10%
31°C 5%
29°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
10%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
62%
32°C or higher 62%
30°C 10%
31°C 5%
29°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
$870 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$870 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$69 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$69 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$69 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$69 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$69 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$0 Обс.
10%
31°C
$108 Обс.
5%
32°C or higher
$1,038 Обс.
62%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus, including outputs aligned with GFS and ECMWF guidance, supports clear skies and daytime warming under northerly flow, positioning the highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31 at or above 32°C as the leading outcome. Official forecasts from multiple agencies project highs of 32–34°C following a brief cool-down earlier in the week, consistent with late-August climatology where Zhengzhou averages near 30–32°C. Trader-implied probability of 60% for 32°C or higher reflects this alignment of dry conditions and modest advection, though minor downward revisions in final observations from the China Meteorological Administration could still shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,233Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus, including outputs aligned with GFS and ECMWF guidance, supports clear skies and daytime warming under northerly flow, positioning the highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31 at or above 32°C as the leading outcome. Official forecasts from multiple agencies project highs of 32–34°C following a brief cool-down earlier in the week, consistent with late-August climatology where Zhengzhou averages near 30–32°C. Trader-implied probability of 60% for 32°C or higher reflects this alignment of dry conditions and modest advection, though minor downward revisions in final observations from the China Meteorological Administration could still shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,233Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus, including outputs aligned with GFS and ECMWF guidance, supports clear skies and daytime warming under northerly flow, positioning the highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31 at or above 32°C as the leading outcome. Official forecasts from multiple agencies project highs of 32–34°C following a brief cool-down earlier in the week, consistent with late-August climatology where Zhengzhou averages near 30–32°C. Trader-implied probability of 60% for 32°C or higher reflects this alignment of dry conditions and modest advection, though minor downward revisions in final observations from the China Meteorological Administration could still shift resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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