Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models indicate peak daily maximum temperatures in Chengdu on September 1 likely centered near 33–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow. This reflects the lingering influence of late-summer monsoon moisture and surface radiative heating before the typical early-September cooling trend driven by increasing cloud cover and weakening subtropical high pressure. Historical September averages near 29–30 °C provide context, yet current warm anomalies and low precipitation probability support the market’s concentration on 33–35 °C outcomes. Traders weigh short-term model updates and local urban heat-island effects ahead of final verification by official surface observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 1?
34°C 29%
35°C 23%
36°C 19%
33°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
14%
34°C
29%
35°C
23%
36°C
19%
37°C
7%
38°C or higher
3%
34°C 29%
35°C 23%
36°C 19%
33°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
28°C or below
$110 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
4%
30°C
$0 Обс.
4%
31°C
$10 Обс.
2%
32°C
$20 Обс.
6%
33°C
$0 Обс.
14%
34°C
$9 Обс.
29%
35°C
$0 Обс.
23%
36°C
$103 Обс.
19%
37°C
$95 Обс.
7%
38°C or higher
$0 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models indicate peak daily maximum temperatures in Chengdu on September 1 likely centered near 33–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow. This reflects the lingering influence of late-summer monsoon moisture and surface radiative heating before the typical early-September cooling trend driven by increasing cloud cover and weakening subtropical high pressure. Historical September averages near 29–30 °C provide context, yet current warm anomalies and low precipitation probability support the market’s concentration on 33–35 °C outcomes. Traders weigh short-term model updates and local urban heat-island effects ahead of final verification by official surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$346Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models indicate peak daily maximum temperatures in Chengdu on September 1 likely centered near 33–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow. This reflects the lingering influence of late-summer monsoon moisture and surface radiative heating before the typical early-September cooling trend driven by increasing cloud cover and weakening subtropical high pressure. Historical September averages near 29–30 °C provide context, yet current warm anomalies and low precipitation probability support the market’s concentration on 33–35 °C outcomes. Traders weigh short-term model updates and local urban heat-island effects ahead of final verification by official surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$346Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models indicate peak daily maximum temperatures in Chengdu on September 1 likely centered near 33–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow. This reflects the lingering influence of late-summer monsoon moisture and surface radiative heating before the typical early-September cooling trend driven by increasing cloud cover and weakening subtropical high pressure. Historical September averages near 29–30 °C provide context, yet current warm anomalies and low precipitation probability support the market’s concentration on 33–35 °C outcomes. Traders weigh short-term model updates and local urban heat-island effects ahead of final verification by official surface observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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