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icon for Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?

Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?

icon for Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?

Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?

13% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
13% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Natalie Harp continues to serve as special assistant and executive assistant to the president, with her position reinforced by repeated White House statements describing her as one of the most loyal and hardest-working aides on the team. Recent reporting from August and September 2026 highlights her ongoing proximity to President Trump during travel, Oval Office operations, and social media drafting, including her reported role in surfacing coverage that preceded the administration’s decision to restrict access for certain outlets. No official announcements, personnel changes, or credible reports indicate plans for her departure before year-end. Trader consensus reflected in the 87% probability on “No” aligns with her entrenched access and the absence of institutional or political pressures that would typically prompt an early exit from such a role.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$240
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Natalie Harp continues to serve as special assistant and executive assistant to the president, with her position reinforced by repeated White House statements describing her as one of the most loyal and hardest-working aides on the team. Recent reporting from August and September 2026 highlights her ongoing proximity to President Trump during travel, Oval Office operations, and social media drafting, including her reported role in surfacing coverage that preceded the administration’s decision to restrict access for certain outlets. No official announcements, personnel changes, or credible reports indicate plans for her departure before year-end. Trader consensus reflected in the 87% probability on “No” aligns with her entrenched access and the absence of institutional or political pressures that would typically prompt an early exit from such a role.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$240
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 13% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 13¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 13%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 21, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?» — 13% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 13% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.