North Carolina's 1st congressional district features incumbent Democrat Don Davis facing Republican Laurie Buckhout in the November 2026 general election. Redistricting approved in late 2025 shifted the seat rightward by roughly eight points based on prior presidential results, prompting nonpartisan analysts to rate it Lean Republican. Davis ran unopposed in the March Democratic primary while Buckhout secured the GOP nomination. Recent polls, including an April NRCC survey, show a statistical tie, with the race described as competitive despite the map changes. Traders appear to weigh Davis's incumbency and name recognition against the altered district boundaries and national midterm dynamics, producing a modest Democratic edge in implied probability. The November outcome hinges on turnout among key voting blocs in the revised eastern North Carolina counties.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNC-01 House Election Winner
NC-01 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
53%
Republican Party
46%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$134 Обс.
53%
Republican Party
$690 Обс.
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 1st congressional district features incumbent Democrat Don Davis facing Republican Laurie Buckhout in the November 2026 general election. Redistricting approved in late 2025 shifted the seat rightward by roughly eight points based on prior presidential results, prompting nonpartisan analysts to rate it Lean Republican. Davis ran unopposed in the March Democratic primary while Buckhout secured the GOP nomination. Recent polls, including an April NRCC survey, show a statistical tie, with the race described as competitive despite the map changes. Traders appear to weigh Davis's incumbency and name recognition against the altered district boundaries and national midterm dynamics, producing a modest Democratic edge in implied probability. The November outcome hinges on turnout among key voting blocs in the revised eastern North Carolina counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$823Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 1st congressional district features incumbent Democrat Don Davis facing Republican Laurie Buckhout in the November 2026 general election. Redistricting approved in late 2025 shifted the seat rightward by roughly eight points based on prior presidential results, prompting nonpartisan analysts to rate it Lean Republican. Davis ran unopposed in the March Democratic primary while Buckhout secured the GOP nomination. Recent polls, including an April NRCC survey, show a statistical tie, with the race described as competitive despite the map changes. Traders appear to weigh Davis's incumbency and name recognition against the altered district boundaries and national midterm dynamics, producing a modest Democratic edge in implied probability. The November outcome hinges on turnout among key voting blocs in the revised eastern North Carolina counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$823Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 1st congressional district features incumbent Democrat Don Davis facing Republican Laurie Buckhout in the November 2026 general election. Redistricting approved in late 2025 shifted the seat rightward by roughly eight points based on prior presidential results, prompting nonpartisan analysts to rate it Lean Republican. Davis ran unopposed in the March Democratic primary while Buckhout secured the GOP nomination. Recent polls, including an April NRCC survey, show a statistical tie, with the race described as competitive despite the map changes. Traders appear to weigh Davis's incumbency and name recognition against the altered district boundaries and national midterm dynamics, producing a modest Democratic edge in implied probability. The November outcome hinges on turnout among key voting blocs in the revised eastern North Carolina counties.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання