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Політика·Первинні

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Adriano Espaillat 71%

Darializa Avila Chevalier 30%

Oscar Romero 1.7%

Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%

Polymarket

$22,817 Обс.

Adriano Espaillat 71%

Darializa Avila Chevalier 30%

Oscar Romero 1.7%

Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%

Polymarket

$22,817 Обс.

Adriano Espaillat

$5,416 Обс.

71%

Darializa Avila Chevalier

$3,253 Обс.

30%

Oscar Romero

$5,233 Обс.

2%

Theo Chino-Tavarez

$1,890 Обс.

<1%

Megan Rodriguez

$2,042 Обс.

<1%

Jaleel Amador

$934 Обс.

<1%

James Felton Keith

$2,195 Обс.

<1%

Matt Miller

$1,855 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Adriano Espaillat maintains a strong lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York's 13th congressional district, backed by deep institutional ties across Upper Manhattan and the Bronx. Darializa Avila Chevalier, the main challenger endorsed by New York City DSA and the United Auto Workers, has narrowed the gap through targeted organizing and an April internal poll showing Espaillat with only 42 percent support among likely voters. Recent petition signature disputes filed by multiple campaigns have added procedural friction, while Chevalier's recent fundraising quarter edged out the incumbent's. These dynamics, combined with Espaillat's five-term record and established donor network, explain the current trader consensus favoring the sitting representative ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$22,817
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Adriano Espaillat maintains a strong lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York's 13th congressional district, backed by deep institutional ties across Upper Manhattan and the Bronx. Darializa Avila Chevalier, the main challenger endorsed by New York City DSA and the United Auto Workers, has narrowed the gap through targeted organizing and an April internal poll showing Espaillat with only 42 percent support among likely voters. Recent petition signature disputes filed by multiple campaigns have added procedural friction, while Chevalier's recent fundraising quarter edged out the incumbent's. These dynamics, combined with Espaillat's five-term record and established donor network, explain the current trader consensus favoring the sitting representative ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$22,817
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 8 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Adriano Espaillat» з 71%, далі «Darializa Avila Chevalier» з 30%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $22.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 19, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 8 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Adriano Espaillat» з 71%. Наступний — «Darializa Avila Chevalier» з 30%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.