Incumbent Republican Troy Balderson's unopposed win in the May 5, 2026, primary has solidified trader consensus favoring the GOP at 89.5% in Ohio's 12th Congressional District race, a Cook PVI R+15 seat rated Solid Republican across forecasters. The district's strong partisan lean—evident in Donald Trump's 65% 2024 presidential margin—and Balderson's prior general election victories (68.5% in 2024 over nominee Jerrad Christian, 69.3% in 2022) underpin the high implied probability. Christian's low fundraising ($17,000 cash on hand vs. Balderson's $1.75 million) and fragmented Democratic primary further dim prospects. The November 3 general election awaits, with national midterm dynamics or scandals as potential wild cards.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOH-12 House Election Winner
OH-12 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,640 Обс.
90%
Democratic Party
$256 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Balderson's unopposed win in the May 5, 2026, primary has solidified trader consensus favoring the GOP at 89.5% in Ohio's 12th Congressional District race, a Cook PVI R+15 seat rated Solid Republican across forecasters. The district's strong partisan lean—evident in Donald Trump's 65% 2024 presidential margin—and Balderson's prior general election victories (68.5% in 2024 over nominee Jerrad Christian, 69.3% in 2022) underpin the high implied probability. Christian's low fundraising ($17,000 cash on hand vs. Balderson's $1.75 million) and fragmented Democratic primary further dim prospects. The November 3 general election awaits, with national midterm dynamics or scandals as potential wild cards.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,896Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Balderson's unopposed win in the May 5, 2026, primary has solidified trader consensus favoring the GOP at 89.5% in Ohio's 12th Congressional District race, a Cook PVI R+15 seat rated Solid Republican across forecasters. The district's strong partisan lean—evident in Donald Trump's 65% 2024 presidential margin—and Balderson's prior general election victories (68.5% in 2024 over nominee Jerrad Christian, 69.3% in 2022) underpin the high implied probability. Christian's low fundraising ($17,000 cash on hand vs. Balderson's $1.75 million) and fragmented Democratic primary further dim prospects. The November 3 general election awaits, with national midterm dynamics or scandals as potential wild cards.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$3,896Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Troy Balderson's unopposed win in the May 5, 2026, primary has solidified trader consensus favoring the GOP at 89.5% in Ohio's 12th Congressional District race, a Cook PVI R+15 seat rated Solid Republican across forecasters. The district's strong partisan lean—evident in Donald Trump's 65% 2024 presidential margin—and Balderson's prior general election victories (68.5% in 2024 over nominee Jerrad Christian, 69.3% in 2022) underpin the high implied probability. Christian's low fundraising ($17,000 cash on hand vs. Balderson's $1.75 million) and fragmented Democratic primary further dim prospects. The November 3 general election awaits, with national midterm dynamics or scandals as potential wild cards.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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