OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and accelerating revenue trajectory underpin trader positioning, with the company’s annualized run rate surpassing $40 billion in mid-2026 on robust enterprise API demand and new product contributions. This growth, paired with a March 2026 private valuation of $852 billion and ambitions for a $1 trillion-plus public debut, supports the market-implied concentration in the 1T–1.5T+ brackets at roughly 81 percent combined probability. Delays shifting the likely listing toward 2027—reflected in the 13.9 percent “no IPO by end-2027” outcome—introduce timing risk amid ongoing losses and infrastructure spending, yet strong sequential revenue momentum and AI-sector multiples continue to anchor expectations for a premium closing market cap relative to the last private round.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено1.5T+ 41.9%
1T–1.25T 20.0%
1.25T–1.5T 20%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14.0%
$115,416 Обс.
$115,416 Обс.
Dec 30, 2027
<500B
<1%
500–750B
1%
750B–1T
8%
1T–1.25T
20%
1.25T–1.5T
20%
1.5T+
42%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
1.5T+ 41.9%
1T–1.25T 20.0%
1.25T–1.5T 20%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14.0%
$115,416 Обс.
$115,416 Обс.
Dec 30, 2027
<500B
$8,567 Обс.
<1%
500–750B
$10,506 Обс.
1%
750B–1T
$12,229 Обс.
8%
1T–1.25T
$17,649 Обс.
20%
1.25T–1.5T
$10,900 Обс.
20%
1.5T+
$30,356 Обс.
42%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$25,210 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and accelerating revenue trajectory underpin trader positioning, with the company’s annualized run rate surpassing $40 billion in mid-2026 on robust enterprise API demand and new product contributions. This growth, paired with a March 2026 private valuation of $852 billion and ambitions for a $1 trillion-plus public debut, supports the market-implied concentration in the 1T–1.5T+ brackets at roughly 81 percent combined probability. Delays shifting the likely listing toward 2027—reflected in the 13.9 percent “no IPO by end-2027” outcome—introduce timing risk amid ongoing losses and infrastructure spending, yet strong sequential revenue momentum and AI-sector multiples continue to anchor expectations for a premium closing market cap relative to the last private round.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$115,416Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and accelerating revenue trajectory underpin trader positioning, with the company’s annualized run rate surpassing $40 billion in mid-2026 on robust enterprise API demand and new product contributions. This growth, paired with a March 2026 private valuation of $852 billion and ambitions for a $1 trillion-plus public debut, supports the market-implied concentration in the 1T–1.5T+ brackets at roughly 81 percent combined probability. Delays shifting the likely listing toward 2027—reflected in the 13.9 percent “no IPO by end-2027” outcome—introduce timing risk amid ongoing losses and infrastructure spending, yet strong sequential revenue momentum and AI-sector multiples continue to anchor expectations for a premium closing market cap relative to the last private round.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$115,416Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and accelerating revenue trajectory underpin trader positioning, with the company’s annualized run rate surpassing $40 billion in mid-2026 on robust enterprise API demand and new product contributions. This growth, paired with a March 2026 private valuation of $852 billion and ambitions for a $1 trillion-plus public debut, supports the market-implied concentration in the 1T–1.5T+ brackets at roughly 81 percent combined probability. Delays shifting the likely listing toward 2027—reflected in the 13.9 percent “no IPO by end-2027” outcome—introduce timing risk amid ongoing losses and infrastructure spending, yet strong sequential revenue momentum and AI-sector multiples continue to anchor expectations for a premium closing market cap relative to the last private round.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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