Recent May 2026 CPI data showing a 3.1% year-over-year rise—the highest since March 2024—has elevated trader expectations for South Korea’s full-year average inflation, with higher oil prices from Middle East tensions driving the acceleration alongside gains in food, transport, and housing costs. The Bank of Korea held its policy rate at 2.5% in late May but revised its 2026 inflation forecast upward to 2.7%, citing persistent energy pressures and stronger export-led growth, which supports the market-implied 58.5% probability on a 3.0%+ outcome. Core inflation also climbed to 2.5%, reinforcing the shift. Upcoming July policy decisions and June CPI releases represent key near-term catalysts that could further influence these aggregated trader probabilities backed by real capital.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено3.0%+ 56%
2.4% to 2.6% 26.3%
2.7% to 2.9% 13.1%
<1.5% 3.9%
$11,338 Обс.
$11,338 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
4%
1.5% to 1.7%
3%
1.8% to 2.0%
27%
2.1% to 2.3%
25%
2.4% to 2.6%
26%
2.7% to 2.9%
25%
3.0%+
56%
3.0%+ 56%
2.4% to 2.6% 26.3%
2.7% to 2.9% 13.1%
<1.5% 3.9%
$11,338 Обс.
$11,338 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
$1,260 Обс.
4%
1.5% to 1.7%
$1,046 Обс.
3%
1.8% to 2.0%
$110 Обс.
27%
2.1% to 2.3%
$159 Обс.
25%
2.4% to 2.6%
$146 Обс.
26%
2.7% to 2.9%
$139 Обс.
25%
3.0%+
$8,478 Обс.
56%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent May 2026 CPI data showing a 3.1% year-over-year rise—the highest since March 2024—has elevated trader expectations for South Korea’s full-year average inflation, with higher oil prices from Middle East tensions driving the acceleration alongside gains in food, transport, and housing costs. The Bank of Korea held its policy rate at 2.5% in late May but revised its 2026 inflation forecast upward to 2.7%, citing persistent energy pressures and stronger export-led growth, which supports the market-implied 58.5% probability on a 3.0%+ outcome. Core inflation also climbed to 2.5%, reinforcing the shift. Upcoming July policy decisions and June CPI releases represent key near-term catalysts that could further influence these aggregated trader probabilities backed by real capital.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Ринок відкрито: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Обсяг
$11,338Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent May 2026 CPI data showing a 3.1% year-over-year rise—the highest since March 2024—has elevated trader expectations for South Korea’s full-year average inflation, with higher oil prices from Middle East tensions driving the acceleration alongside gains in food, transport, and housing costs. The Bank of Korea held its policy rate at 2.5% in late May but revised its 2026 inflation forecast upward to 2.7%, citing persistent energy pressures and stronger export-led growth, which supports the market-implied 58.5% probability on a 3.0%+ outcome. Core inflation also climbed to 2.5%, reinforcing the shift. Upcoming July policy decisions and June CPI releases represent key near-term catalysts that could further influence these aggregated trader probabilities backed by real capital.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Обсяг
$11,338Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent May 2026 CPI data showing a 3.1% year-over-year rise—the highest since March 2024—has elevated trader expectations for South Korea’s full-year average inflation, with higher oil prices from Middle East tensions driving the acceleration alongside gains in food, transport, and housing costs. The Bank of Korea held its policy rate at 2.5% in late May but revised its 2026 inflation forecast upward to 2.7%, citing persistent energy pressures and stronger export-led growth, which supports the market-implied 58.5% probability on a 3.0%+ outcome. Core inflation also climbed to 2.5%, reinforcing the shift. Upcoming July policy decisions and June CPI releases represent key near-term catalysts that could further influence these aggregated trader probabilities backed by real capital.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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