President Donald Trump has floated alternatives such as “Superior Intelligence” or “Extreme Intelligence” via Truth Social posts and informal polls since September 19, while announcing plans for an “AI Force” and an AI czar to oversee industry growth. These steps do not meet the market’s criteria, which require a formal executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that officially adopts and directs federal use of a new designation for the technology itself. No such document has been issued or signaled in the final nine days before the September 30 deadline, and past executive actions on AI have focused on innovation and security rather than terminology changes. Traders therefore assign the “No” outcome a 91.5% implied probability, consistent with the narrow procedural window and absence of qualifying action.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоA qualifying action must replace or supersede "artificial intelligence" as the federal government's designation for the technology itself. Any replacement name qualifies, including "Superior Intelligence", "Extreme Intelligence", "Supreme Intelligence", or "Genius Intelligence"; the name chosen has no bearing on resolution. An order that directs an agency to adopt or implement such a name within a stated period qualifies.
Statements, speeches, interviews, press conferences, and social media posts, including polls posted to social media, do not count. Renaming a federal office, agency, program, task force, commission, or military service, such as an "AI Force", does not count unless the same action also renames the technology itself. Renaming a specific product, model, or private-sector system does not count. Incidental use of an alternative term in the text of an order, without a directive adopting it as the official designation, does not count.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...A qualifying action must replace or supersede "artificial intelligence" as the federal government's designation for the technology itself. Any replacement name qualifies, including "Superior Intelligence", "Extreme Intelligence", "Supreme Intelligence", or "Genius Intelligence"; the name chosen has no bearing on resolution. An order that directs an agency to adopt or implement such a name within a stated period qualifies.
Statements, speeches, interviews, press conferences, and social media posts, including polls posted to social media, do not count. Renaming a federal office, agency, program, task force, commission, or military service, such as an "AI Force", does not count unless the same action also renames the technology itself. Renaming a specific product, model, or private-sector system does not count. Incidental use of an alternative term in the text of an order, without a directive adopting it as the official designation, does not count.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump has floated alternatives such as “Superior Intelligence” or “Extreme Intelligence” via Truth Social posts and informal polls since September 19, while announcing plans for an “AI Force” and an AI czar to oversee industry growth. These steps do not meet the market’s criteria, which require a formal executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that officially adopts and directs federal use of a new designation for the technology itself. No such document has been issued or signaled in the final nine days before the September 30 deadline, and past executive actions on AI have focused on innovation and security rather than terminology changes. Traders therefore assign the “No” outcome a 91.5% implied probability, consistent with the narrow procedural window and absence of qualifying action.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання