Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud secured the party's nomination after defeating a primary challenger in March 2026, positioning him for reelection in Texas's 27th congressional district on November 3. The district's Republican lean, reinforced by recent redistricting and consistent past results, underpins the 91.1% implied probability for the Republican Party. Democratic nominee Tanya Lloyd and independent candidates face structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Republican, with limited polling shifts or national wave dynamics evident so far. Trader consensus aligns with the district's electoral math and incumbency advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Cloud, or unexpected turnout surge could still narrow the gap before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-27 House Election Winner
TX-27 House Election Winner
$31,084 Обс.
$31,084 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$31,084 Обс.
$31,084 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$20,129 Обс.
91%
Democratic Party
$10,954 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud secured the party's nomination after defeating a primary challenger in March 2026, positioning him for reelection in Texas's 27th congressional district on November 3. The district's Republican lean, reinforced by recent redistricting and consistent past results, underpins the 91.1% implied probability for the Republican Party. Democratic nominee Tanya Lloyd and independent candidates face structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Republican, with limited polling shifts or national wave dynamics evident so far. Trader consensus aligns with the district's electoral math and incumbency advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Cloud, or unexpected turnout surge could still narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$31,084Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud secured the party's nomination after defeating a primary challenger in March 2026, positioning him for reelection in Texas's 27th congressional district on November 3. The district's Republican lean, reinforced by recent redistricting and consistent past results, underpins the 91.1% implied probability for the Republican Party. Democratic nominee Tanya Lloyd and independent candidates face structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Republican, with limited polling shifts or national wave dynamics evident so far. Trader consensus aligns with the district's electoral math and incumbency advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Cloud, or unexpected turnout surge could still narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$31,084Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud secured the party's nomination after defeating a primary challenger in March 2026, positioning him for reelection in Texas's 27th congressional district on November 3. The district's Republican lean, reinforced by recent redistricting and consistent past results, underpins the 91.1% implied probability for the Republican Party. Democratic nominee Tanya Lloyd and independent candidates face structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Republican, with limited polling shifts or national wave dynamics evident so far. Trader consensus aligns with the district's electoral math and incumbency advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Cloud, or unexpected turnout surge could still narrow the gap before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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