Recent diplomatic efforts center on converting a temporary April 2026 ceasefire—mediated by Pakistan—into a longer-term framework amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. US and Iranian negotiators reached a tentative 60-day memorandum of understanding in late May covering Strait of Hormuz reopening, eased port restrictions, and renewed nuclear program talks, though it awaits final sign-off from President Trump and Iranian leadership. Trump has repeatedly described documents as near-final and a signing as imminent within days, while directing negotiators not to rush and canceling planned strikes; Iranian statements remain more guarded. These developments, alongside stalled prior rounds in Oman and Islamabad plus flare-ups in exchanges, shape trader assessments of near-term agreement prospects versus risks of renewed escalation or prolonged haggling over sanctions and enrichment limits.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
June 15
34%
June 22
43%
June 30
57%
July 31
65%
$110 Обс.
June 15
$7 Обс.
34%
June 22
$97 Обс.
43%
June 30
$0 Обс.
57%
July 31
$6 Обс.
65%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic efforts center on converting a temporary April 2026 ceasefire—mediated by Pakistan—into a longer-term framework amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. US and Iranian negotiators reached a tentative 60-day memorandum of understanding in late May covering Strait of Hormuz reopening, eased port restrictions, and renewed nuclear program talks, though it awaits final sign-off from President Trump and Iranian leadership. Trump has repeatedly described documents as near-final and a signing as imminent within days, while directing negotiators not to rush and canceling planned strikes; Iranian statements remain more guarded. These developments, alongside stalled prior rounds in Oman and Islamabad plus flare-ups in exchanges, shape trader assessments of near-term agreement prospects versus risks of renewed escalation or prolonged haggling over sanctions and enrichment limits.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Обсяг
$110Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic efforts center on converting a temporary April 2026 ceasefire—mediated by Pakistan—into a longer-term framework amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. US and Iranian negotiators reached a tentative 60-day memorandum of understanding in late May covering Strait of Hormuz reopening, eased port restrictions, and renewed nuclear program talks, though it awaits final sign-off from President Trump and Iranian leadership. Trump has repeatedly described documents as near-final and a signing as imminent within days, while directing negotiators not to rush and canceling planned strikes; Iranian statements remain more guarded. These developments, alongside stalled prior rounds in Oman and Islamabad plus flare-ups in exchanges, shape trader assessments of near-term agreement prospects versus risks of renewed escalation or prolonged haggling over sanctions and enrichment limits.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$110Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic efforts center on converting a temporary April 2026 ceasefire—mediated by Pakistan—into a longer-term framework amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. US and Iranian negotiators reached a tentative 60-day memorandum of understanding in late May covering Strait of Hormuz reopening, eased port restrictions, and renewed nuclear program talks, though it awaits final sign-off from President Trump and Iranian leadership. Trump has repeatedly described documents as near-final and a signing as imminent within days, while directing negotiators not to rush and canceling planned strikes; Iranian statements remain more guarded. These developments, alongside stalled prior rounds in Oman and Islamabad plus flare-ups in exchanges, shape trader assessments of near-term agreement prospects versus risks of renewed escalation or prolonged haggling over sanctions and enrichment limits.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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