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Політика·Трамп

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

icon for Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Політика·Трамп

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

НОВЕ
Aug 1, 2026
Polymarket

$56 Обс.

Polymarket

Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah

$0 Обс.

45%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$17 Обс.

45%

Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan

$0 Обс.

45%

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa

$0 Обс.

45%

Marco Rubio

$0 Обс.

44%

Recep Tayyip Erdogan

$0 Обс.

44%

Mohammed bin Salman

$0 Обс.

44%

Shehbaz Sharif

$0 Обс.

43%

Masoud Pezeshkian

$0 Обс.

43%

Abbas Araghchi

$0 Обс.

43%

Steve Witkoff

$0 Обс.

43%

Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$0 Обс.

43%

Donald Trump

$0 Обс.

43%

King Abdullah II

$0 Обс.

42%

Abdel Fattah el-Sisi

$0 Обс.

37%

Ali Larijani

$15 Обс.

36%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$0 Обс.

28%

Pete Hegseth

$12 Обс.

19%

JD Vance

$33 Обс.

57%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic efforts center on extending the April 2026 ceasefire between the United States and Iran following U.S.-Israeli strikes that began in late February. Mediated talks in Islamabad and Geneva have addressed Iran's nuclear program, ballistic missiles, sanctions relief, frozen assets, and navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. As of early June 2026, U.S. officials report tentative progress on a memorandum of understanding to prolong the truce and resume nuclear negotiations, though Iran continues to condition any accord on immediate economic concessions and guarantees. President Trump has publicly stated that final details are under discussion, with a possible signing in Europe within days, while Iranian statements emphasize simultaneous actions and skepticism over U.S. commitments. These developments shape trader focus on which officials might finalize any agreement amid unresolved core disputes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.

The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.

The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$56
Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic efforts center on extending the April 2026 ceasefire between the United States and Iran following U.S.-Israeli strikes that began in late February. Mediated talks in Islamabad and Geneva have addressed Iran's nuclear program, ballistic missiles, sanctions relief, frozen assets, and navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. As of early June 2026, U.S. officials report tentative progress on a memorandum of understanding to prolong the truce and resume nuclear negotiations, though Iran continues to condition any accord on immediate economic concessions and guarantees. President Trump has publicly stated that final details are under discussion, with a possible signing in Europe within days, while Iranian statements emphasize simultaneous actions and skepticism over U.S. commitments. These developments shape trader focus on which officials might finalize any agreement amid unresolved core disputes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.

The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.

The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$56
Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 19 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «JD Vance» з 57%, далі «Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah» з 45%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jun 12, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?», перегляньте 19 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?» — «JD Vance» з 57%. Наступний — «Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah» з 45%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.