Negotiations following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum remain stalled, with U.S. and Iranian officials reporting limited progress on core issues including nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and IAEA access as of mid-August. The MOU outlined a 60-day window (extendable) to finalize terms before a binding UN Security Council resolution, yet subsequent technical talks have produced no agreement amid renewed regional tensions and U.S. warnings of military options. Permanent Security Council members face persistent divisions over verification and enforcement, while recent UN briefings highlighted gaps in nuclear program monitoring. These factors sustain trader expectations that no endorsing resolution will pass by the December 31 deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
21% шанс
$157,364 Обс.
$157,364 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
21% шанс
$157,364 Обс.
$157,364 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Negotiations following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum remain stalled, with U.S. and Iranian officials reporting limited progress on core issues including nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and IAEA access as of mid-August. The MOU outlined a 60-day window (extendable) to finalize terms before a binding UN Security Council resolution, yet subsequent technical talks have produced no agreement amid renewed regional tensions and U.S. warnings of military options. Permanent Security Council members face persistent divisions over verification and enforcement, while recent UN briefings highlighted gaps in nuclear program monitoring. These factors sustain trader expectations that no endorsing resolution will pass by the December 31 deadline.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Обсяг
$157,364Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Negotiations following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum remain stalled, with U.S. and Iranian officials reporting limited progress on core issues including nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and IAEA access as of mid-August. The MOU outlined a 60-day window (extendable) to finalize terms before a binding UN Security Council resolution, yet subsequent technical talks have produced no agreement amid renewed regional tensions and U.S. warnings of military options. Permanent Security Council members face persistent divisions over verification and enforcement, while recent UN briefings highlighted gaps in nuclear program monitoring. These factors sustain trader expectations that no endorsing resolution will pass by the December 31 deadline.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$157,364Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Negotiations following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum remain stalled, with U.S. and Iranian officials reporting limited progress on core issues including nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and IAEA access as of mid-August. The MOU outlined a 60-day window (extendable) to finalize terms before a binding UN Security Council resolution, yet subsequent technical talks have produced no agreement amid renewed regional tensions and U.S. warnings of military options. Permanent Security Council members face persistent divisions over verification and enforcement, while recent UN briefings highlighted gaps in nuclear program monitoring. These factors sustain trader expectations that no endorsing resolution will pass by the December 31 deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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