Negotiations between the United States and Iran remain in a fragile technical phase following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which outlined a 60-day window to finalize terms on nuclear restrictions, sanctions relief, and regional de-escalation before any binding UN Security Council resolution. Recent statements from U.S. officials, including Vice President JD Vance, emphasize ongoing but incomplete progress amid disputes over enrichment levels, asset releases, and Strait of Hormuz access, while Iranian representatives have publicly denied direct talks and prioritized bilateral channels with Oman. These dynamics, combined with procedural hurdles in the Council and the need for consensus among permanent members, sustain trader expectations that a comprehensive final agreement will not reach endorsement by the December 31 deadline. Historical patterns of protracted diplomacy on similar nuclear and sanctions files reinforce the current implied probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
35% шанс
$124,993 Обс.
$124,993 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
35% шанс
$124,993 Обс.
$124,993 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Negotiations between the United States and Iran remain in a fragile technical phase following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which outlined a 60-day window to finalize terms on nuclear restrictions, sanctions relief, and regional de-escalation before any binding UN Security Council resolution. Recent statements from U.S. officials, including Vice President JD Vance, emphasize ongoing but incomplete progress amid disputes over enrichment levels, asset releases, and Strait of Hormuz access, while Iranian representatives have publicly denied direct talks and prioritized bilateral channels with Oman. These dynamics, combined with procedural hurdles in the Council and the need for consensus among permanent members, sustain trader expectations that a comprehensive final agreement will not reach endorsement by the December 31 deadline. Historical patterns of protracted diplomacy on similar nuclear and sanctions files reinforce the current implied probability.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Обсяг
$124,993Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Negotiations between the United States and Iran remain in a fragile technical phase following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which outlined a 60-day window to finalize terms on nuclear restrictions, sanctions relief, and regional de-escalation before any binding UN Security Council resolution. Recent statements from U.S. officials, including Vice President JD Vance, emphasize ongoing but incomplete progress amid disputes over enrichment levels, asset releases, and Strait of Hormuz access, while Iranian representatives have publicly denied direct talks and prioritized bilateral channels with Oman. These dynamics, combined with procedural hurdles in the Council and the need for consensus among permanent members, sustain trader expectations that a comprehensive final agreement will not reach endorsement by the December 31 deadline. Historical patterns of protracted diplomacy on similar nuclear and sanctions files reinforce the current implied probability.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$124,993Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Negotiations between the United States and Iran remain in a fragile technical phase following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which outlined a 60-day window to finalize terms on nuclear restrictions, sanctions relief, and regional de-escalation before any binding UN Security Council resolution. Recent statements from U.S. officials, including Vice President JD Vance, emphasize ongoing but incomplete progress amid disputes over enrichment levels, asset releases, and Strait of Hormuz access, while Iranian representatives have publicly denied direct talks and prioritized bilateral channels with Oman. These dynamics, combined with procedural hurdles in the Council and the need for consensus among permanent members, sustain trader expectations that a comprehensive final agreement will not reach endorsement by the December 31 deadline. Historical patterns of protracted diplomacy on similar nuclear and sanctions files reinforce the current implied probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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