Utah's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its northern Utah voter base, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Blake Moore faces a June 23 primary challenge from state lawmaker Karianne Lisonbee, with the recent debate centering on data center development, water usage, and redistricting impacts, but these local dynamics have not altered the broader outlook. Democrat Peter Crosby advanced unopposed to the general after his party's primary was canceled, yet the district's consistent Republican performance in prior cycles and limited competitive pressure sustain trader consensus around an 88.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. The upcoming primary serves as the next near-term catalyst before the general election contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUT-02 House Election Winner
UT-02 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,030 Обс.
94%
Democratic Party
$809 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its northern Utah voter base, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Blake Moore faces a June 23 primary challenge from state lawmaker Karianne Lisonbee, with the recent debate centering on data center development, water usage, and redistricting impacts, but these local dynamics have not altered the broader outlook. Democrat Peter Crosby advanced unopposed to the general after his party's primary was canceled, yet the district's consistent Republican performance in prior cycles and limited competitive pressure sustain trader consensus around an 88.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. The upcoming primary serves as the next near-term catalyst before the general election contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,840Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its northern Utah voter base, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Blake Moore faces a June 23 primary challenge from state lawmaker Karianne Lisonbee, with the recent debate centering on data center development, water usage, and redistricting impacts, but these local dynamics have not altered the broader outlook. Democrat Peter Crosby advanced unopposed to the general after his party's primary was canceled, yet the district's consistent Republican performance in prior cycles and limited competitive pressure sustain trader consensus around an 88.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. The upcoming primary serves as the next near-term catalyst before the general election contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$1,840Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its northern Utah voter base, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Blake Moore faces a June 23 primary challenge from state lawmaker Karianne Lisonbee, with the recent debate centering on data center development, water usage, and redistricting impacts, but these local dynamics have not altered the broader outlook. Democrat Peter Crosby advanced unopposed to the general after his party's primary was canceled, yet the district's consistent Republican performance in prior cycles and limited competitive pressure sustain trader consensus around an 88.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. The upcoming primary serves as the next near-term catalyst before the general election contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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