Utah's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and others with a strong GOP partisan lean from 2024 presidential results, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 81.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner. Incumbent Rep. Celeste Maloy narrowly advanced from the April 25 state GOP convention with 51% over challenger Phil Lyman, setting up a contentious June 23 Republican primary reminiscent of her razor-thin 2024 primary victory; Maloy holds a significant fundraising edge with over $460,000 cash on hand. Democrat Kent Udell advanced unopposed via convention but faces steep barriers in the safely red district, accounting for the 15% odds amid no recent polling shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUT-03 House Election Winner
UT-03 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
54%
Democratic Party
48%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$258 Обс.
54%
Democratic Party
$58 Обс.
48%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and others with a strong GOP partisan lean from 2024 presidential results, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 81.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner. Incumbent Rep. Celeste Maloy narrowly advanced from the April 25 state GOP convention with 51% over challenger Phil Lyman, setting up a contentious June 23 Republican primary reminiscent of her razor-thin 2024 primary victory; Maloy holds a significant fundraising edge with over $460,000 cash on hand. Democrat Kent Udell advanced unopposed via convention but faces steep barriers in the safely red district, accounting for the 15% odds amid no recent polling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$316Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and others with a strong GOP partisan lean from 2024 presidential results, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 81.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner. Incumbent Rep. Celeste Maloy narrowly advanced from the April 25 state GOP convention with 51% over challenger Phil Lyman, setting up a contentious June 23 Republican primary reminiscent of her razor-thin 2024 primary victory; Maloy holds a significant fundraising edge with over $460,000 cash on hand. Democrat Kent Udell advanced unopposed via convention but faces steep barriers in the safely red district, accounting for the 15% odds amid no recent polling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$316Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and others with a strong GOP partisan lean from 2024 presidential results, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 81.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner. Incumbent Rep. Celeste Maloy narrowly advanced from the April 25 state GOP convention with 51% over challenger Phil Lyman, setting up a contentious June 23 Republican primary reminiscent of her razor-thin 2024 primary victory; Maloy holds a significant fundraising edge with over $460,000 cash on hand. Democrat Kent Udell advanced unopposed via convention but faces steep barriers in the safely red district, accounting for the 15% odds amid no recent polling shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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