In Virginia's 1st Congressional District House race, trader consensus reflects a closely contested matchup driven by recent polls showing incumbent Republican Rob Wittman holding a slim single-digit lead over leading Democratic challenger Shannon Taylor, amid strong fundraising from both sides—Wittman with over $3.8 million cash on hand and Taylor at $822,000 as of late March. The race remains tight due to a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the August 4 vote, following the May 26 filing deadline, which risks vote-splitting, while Wittman's unopposed Republican primary path bolsters his incumbency advantage. A state Supreme Court ruling earlier this month overturning a Democratic-favored mid-decade redistricting map reverted lines to a Republican-leaning configuration (rated Lean Republican by Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections), yet persistent generic ballot evenness and national midterm dynamics keep odds fluid; primary consolidation or fundraising surges could tip the balance toward separation by fall.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоVA-01 House Election Winner
VA-01 House Election Winner
$17,987 Обс.
$17,987 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
49%
Republican Party
48%
$17,987 Обс.
$17,987 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,285 Обс.
49%
Republican Party
$1,702 Обс.
48%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Virginia's 1st Congressional District House race, trader consensus reflects a closely contested matchup driven by recent polls showing incumbent Republican Rob Wittman holding a slim single-digit lead over leading Democratic challenger Shannon Taylor, amid strong fundraising from both sides—Wittman with over $3.8 million cash on hand and Taylor at $822,000 as of late March. The race remains tight due to a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the August 4 vote, following the May 26 filing deadline, which risks vote-splitting, while Wittman's unopposed Republican primary path bolsters his incumbency advantage. A state Supreme Court ruling earlier this month overturning a Democratic-favored mid-decade redistricting map reverted lines to a Republican-leaning configuration (rated Lean Republican by Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections), yet persistent generic ballot evenness and national midterm dynamics keep odds fluid; primary consolidation or fundraising surges could tip the balance toward separation by fall.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$17,987Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Virginia's 1st Congressional District House race, trader consensus reflects a closely contested matchup driven by recent polls showing incumbent Republican Rob Wittman holding a slim single-digit lead over leading Democratic challenger Shannon Taylor, amid strong fundraising from both sides—Wittman with over $3.8 million cash on hand and Taylor at $822,000 as of late March. The race remains tight due to a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the August 4 vote, following the May 26 filing deadline, which risks vote-splitting, while Wittman's unopposed Republican primary path bolsters his incumbency advantage. A state Supreme Court ruling earlier this month overturning a Democratic-favored mid-decade redistricting map reverted lines to a Republican-leaning configuration (rated Lean Republican by Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections), yet persistent generic ballot evenness and national midterm dynamics keep odds fluid; primary consolidation or fundraising surges could tip the balance toward separation by fall.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$17,987Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Virginia's 1st Congressional District House race, trader consensus reflects a closely contested matchup driven by recent polls showing incumbent Republican Rob Wittman holding a slim single-digit lead over leading Democratic challenger Shannon Taylor, amid strong fundraising from both sides—Wittman with over $3.8 million cash on hand and Taylor at $822,000 as of late March. The race remains tight due to a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the August 4 vote, following the May 26 filing deadline, which risks vote-splitting, while Wittman's unopposed Republican primary path bolsters his incumbency advantage. A state Supreme Court ruling earlier this month overturning a Democratic-favored mid-decade redistricting map reverted lines to a Republican-leaning configuration (rated Lean Republican by Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections), yet persistent generic ballot evenness and national midterm dynamics keep odds fluid; primary consolidation or fundraising surges could tip the balance toward separation by fall.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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