**Trader consensus on the "Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?" market heavily favors "No" (89.5% implied probability) due to the U.S. Department of Justice's explicit conclusion after its 2025–2026 file reviews that no prosecutable evidence emerged against additional individuals.** In early 2026, following the release of more than three million pages of investigative records under the Epstein Files Transparency Act, Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche stated that the department’s exhaustive review found insufficient evidence to support new federal charges beyond those against Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell (who was convicted in 2021). Officials have reiterated that allegations in the files were often unverified or lacked corroboration sufficient for indictment. Subsequent developments through mid-2026, including ongoing House Oversight Committee proceedings, state-level inquiries (such as New Mexico’s reopened probe into Zorro Ranch and related litigation against the DOJ), and limited international actions (arrests on suspicion of misconduct in public office abroad, plus one corruption charge in Norway), have not produced U.S. indictments tied directly to the disclosures. Congressional scrutiny and document disputes continue, but these have centered on transparency, redactions, and historical handling rather than yielding new criminal referrals with viable evidence. The market pricing aligns with the DOJ’s repeated position that prior investigations, including victim interviews and network analysis, did not uncover facts supporting further sex-trafficking or related prosecutions in the United States. Any shift would require new verifiable evidence meeting prosecutorial thresholds, which has not materialized in the six months since the primary releases.