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Геополітика·Україна

Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?

icon for Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?
Геополітика·Україна

Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?

$25,213 Обс.

May 31, 2026
Polymarket

$25,213 Обс.

Polymarket

May 31

$20,123 Обс.

8%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Tsentralna volytsia x Peremohy volytsia at 48.492703° N, 37.607318° E in Dovha Balka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka+intersection+zoom.png Intersection Location in Dovha Balka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka+intersection.png Dovha Balka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Sp1hCRWLBnNtSwTk8 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces continue probing advances southwest of Kostyantynivka in Donetsk Oblast as part of sustained operations to pressure Ukrainian logistics hubs along the front. Ukrainian units conducted successful counterattacks that fully recaptured Dovha Balka on May 9 following limited Russian infiltrations into the village's eastern and southeastern sectors earlier that week, according to geolocated footage and assessments from the Institute for the Study of War. Russian artillery and drone strikes persisted against Ukrainian positions east of the village on May 10 during a brief ceasefire window, yet no sustained control of the key Tsentralna-Volynska and Peremohy intersection has been established. Ongoing localized clashes, combined with Ukrainian defensive reinforcements in the area, have reversed prior tactical Russian gains through mid-May, leaving the outcome dependent on whether Moscow can consolidate further ground advances before the May 31 resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Tsentralna volytsia x Peremohy volytsia at 48.492703° N, 37.607318° E in Dovha Balka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.

The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.

For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.

If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka+intersection+zoom.png

Intersection Location in Dovha Balka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka+intersection.png

Dovha Balka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka.png

Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Sp1hCRWLBnNtSwTk8

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Обсяг
$25,213
Дата завершення
May 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 13, 2026, 6:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Tsentralna volytsia x Peremohy volytsia at 48.492703° N, 37.607318° E in Dovha Balka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka+intersection+zoom.png Intersection Location in Dovha Balka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka+intersection.png Dovha Balka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Sp1hCRWLBnNtSwTk8 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Tsentralna volytsia x Peremohy volytsia at 48.492703° N, 37.607318° E in Dovha Balka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka+intersection+zoom.png Intersection Location in Dovha Balka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka+intersection.png Dovha Balka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Sp1hCRWLBnNtSwTk8 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces continue probing advances southwest of Kostyantynivka in Donetsk Oblast as part of sustained operations to pressure Ukrainian logistics hubs along the front. Ukrainian units conducted successful counterattacks that fully recaptured Dovha Balka on May 9 following limited Russian infiltrations into the village's eastern and southeastern sectors earlier that week, according to geolocated footage and assessments from the Institute for the Study of War. Russian artillery and drone strikes persisted against Ukrainian positions east of the village on May 10 during a brief ceasefire window, yet no sustained control of the key Tsentralna-Volynska and Peremohy intersection has been established. Ongoing localized clashes, combined with Ukrainian defensive reinforcements in the area, have reversed prior tactical Russian gains through mid-May, leaving the outcome dependent on whether Moscow can consolidate further ground advances before the May 31 resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Tsentralna volytsia x Peremohy volytsia at 48.492703° N, 37.607318° E in Dovha Balka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.

The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.

For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.

If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka+intersection+zoom.png

Intersection Location in Dovha Balka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka+intersection.png

Dovha Balka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka.png

Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Sp1hCRWLBnNtSwTk8

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Обсяг
$25,213
Дата завершення
May 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 13, 2026, 6:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Tsentralna volytsia x Peremohy volytsia at 48.492703° N, 37.607318° E in Dovha Balka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka+intersection+zoom.png Intersection Location in Dovha Balka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka+intersection.png Dovha Balka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Sp1hCRWLBnNtSwTk8 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «May 31» з 8%, далі «April 30» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?» згенерував $25.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 13, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Це відкритий ринок. Поточний лідер для «Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?» — «May 31» лише з 8%, а «April 30» — близько позаду з 0%. Жоден результат не має впевненої більшості — трейдери вважають це дуже невизначеним.

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