US-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States occurred in Geneva in February 2026 but collapsed quickly, after which scheduled follow-ups in Abu Dhabi were postponed indefinitely amid the Middle East conflict. Direct bilateral contacts have continued on narrow humanitarian matters such as prisoner exchanges, while Russian President Vladimir Putin stated in early May that the conflict is approaching its end and signaled openness to short-term ceasefires. These developments, combined with the absence of new high-level diplomatic sessions since March, shape trader assessments of timelines for a formal Russia-Ukraine meeting. Upcoming European and US diplomatic engagements could influence momentum, though persistent demands over territorial issues remain key sticking points.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$149,393 Обс.
May 31
3%
June 30
27%
December 31
73%
$149,393 Обс.
May 31
3%
June 30
27%
December 31
73%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States occurred in Geneva in February 2026 but collapsed quickly, after which scheduled follow-ups in Abu Dhabi were postponed indefinitely amid the Middle East conflict. Direct bilateral contacts have continued on narrow humanitarian matters such as prisoner exchanges, while Russian President Vladimir Putin stated in early May that the conflict is approaching its end and signaled openness to short-term ceasefires. These developments, combined with the absence of new high-level diplomatic sessions since March, shape trader assessments of timelines for a formal Russia-Ukraine meeting. Upcoming European and US diplomatic engagements could influence momentum, though persistent demands over territorial issues remain key sticking points.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання