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icon for Чи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Венесуелі за...?

Чи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Венесуелі за...?

icon for Чи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Венесуелі за...?

Чи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Венесуелі за...?

$1,242,694 Обс.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$1,242,694 Обс.

Polymarket

30 червня 2026

$477,268 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.The US has not issued a formal declaration of war against Venezuela, despite conducting a limited military operation on January 3, 2026, that captured former president Nicolás Maduro under narco-terrorism charges. That brief action, involving special operations forces and airstrikes on air defenses, bypassed congressional authorization and triggered debate over the War Powers Resolution without escalating to sustained conflict. Subsequent steps—including reestablishment of diplomatic relations in March 2026, sanctions relief on oil exports, and formation of an interim Venezuelan government—have reduced tensions. Congressional proposals such as the No War with Venezuela Act further constrain broader engagement, while statements from administration officials have emphasized targeted enforcement rather than open hostilities. These developments have anchored trader expectations around continued restraint absent a new major trigger.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.

The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,242,694
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.The US has not issued a formal declaration of war against Venezuela, despite conducting a limited military operation on January 3, 2026, that captured former president Nicolás Maduro under narco-terrorism charges. That brief action, involving special operations forces and airstrikes on air defenses, bypassed congressional authorization and triggered debate over the War Powers Resolution without escalating to sustained conflict. Subsequent steps—including reestablishment of diplomatic relations in March 2026, sanctions relief on oil exports, and formation of an interim Venezuelan government—have reduced tensions. Congressional proposals such as the No War with Venezuela Act further constrain broader engagement, while statements from administration officials have emphasized targeted enforcement rather than open hostilities. These developments have anchored trader expectations around continued restraint absent a new major trigger.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.

The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,242,694
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Чи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Венесуелі за...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «30 червня 2026» з 1%, далі «31 грудня» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Чи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Венесуелі за...?» згенерував $1.2 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 15, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Чи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Венесуелі за...?», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Це відкритий ринок. Поточний лідер для «Чи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Венесуелі за...?» — «30 червня 2026» лише з 1%, а «31 грудня» — близько позаду з 0%. Жоден результат не має впевненої більшості — трейдери вважають це дуже невизначеним.

Правила вирішення для «Чи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Венесуелі за...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.