The 22nd Amendment's repeal requires two-thirds approval in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of the states, a threshold unmet for any prior amendment repeal except Prohibition. As of August 2026, President Trump has repeatedly acknowledged the provision's strength while floating 2028 interest, and limited allied resolutions such as Rep. Andy Ogles' proposal have gained no traction in a divided Congress. Midterm dynamics, partisan opposition, and historical precedent for term-limit stability reinforce trader consensus that repeal will not occur in 2026. Scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden supermajority realignments after November elections or successful legal arguments testing amendment wording, though both remain remote given institutional safeguards and ratification hurdles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено3% шанс
$13,091 Обс.
$13,091 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
3% шанс
$13,091 Обс.
$13,091 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The 22nd Amendment's repeal requires two-thirds approval in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of the states, a threshold unmet for any prior amendment repeal except Prohibition. As of August 2026, President Trump has repeatedly acknowledged the provision's strength while floating 2028 interest, and limited allied resolutions such as Rep. Andy Ogles' proposal have gained no traction in a divided Congress. Midterm dynamics, partisan opposition, and historical precedent for term-limit stability reinforce trader consensus that repeal will not occur in 2026. Scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden supermajority realignments after November elections or successful legal arguments testing amendment wording, though both remain remote given institutional safeguards and ratification hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Обсяг
$13,091Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The 22nd Amendment's repeal requires two-thirds approval in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of the states, a threshold unmet for any prior amendment repeal except Prohibition. As of August 2026, President Trump has repeatedly acknowledged the provision's strength while floating 2028 interest, and limited allied resolutions such as Rep. Andy Ogles' proposal have gained no traction in a divided Congress. Midterm dynamics, partisan opposition, and historical precedent for term-limit stability reinforce trader consensus that repeal will not occur in 2026. Scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden supermajority realignments after November elections or successful legal arguments testing amendment wording, though both remain remote given institutional safeguards and ratification hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Обсяг
$13,091Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...The 22nd Amendment's repeal requires two-thirds approval in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of the states, a threshold unmet for any prior amendment repeal except Prohibition. As of August 2026, President Trump has repeatedly acknowledged the provision's strength while floating 2028 interest, and limited allied resolutions such as Rep. Andy Ogles' proposal have gained no traction in a divided Congress. Midterm dynamics, partisan opposition, and historical precedent for term-limit stability reinforce trader consensus that repeal will not occur in 2026. Scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden supermajority realignments after November elections or successful legal arguments testing amendment wording, though both remain remote given institutional safeguards and ratification hurdles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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