ChatGPT holds a strong 77% implied probability of claiming the top free spot in the US App Store on September 18, driven by its consistent #1 ranking through mid-September amid ongoing updates to its large language model features, including image generation and voice mode. Recent bug-fix releases and the September launch of GPT-6 Astra have sustained user engagement and revenue leadership in the generative AI category, outpacing competitors. Lower-probability apps such as Vinted, Muse from Meta, Google Gemini, and TikTok Pro reflect their current mid-tier positions, with limited catalysts to displace the leader before resolution. Traders view the outcome as relatively stable given ChatGPT’s established download momentum and category dominance, though sudden viral shifts or major competitor announcements could still alter the final chart.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtChatGPT 78%
Vinted 13%
Muse 7%
Polymarket 2.4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
ChatGPT
78%
Vinted
13%
Muse
10%
Polymarket
2%
Google Gemini
1%
TikTok Pro - Events
1%
Google Maps
1%
ChatGPT 78%
Vinted 13%
Muse 7%
Polymarket 2.4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
ChatGPT
$4,804 KL.
78%
Vinted
$266 KL.
13%
Muse
$229 KL.
10%
Polymarket
$28 KL.
2%
Google Gemini
$164 KL.
1%
TikTok Pro - Events
$304 KL.
1%
Google Maps
$187 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT holds a strong 77% implied probability of claiming the top free spot in the US App Store on September 18, driven by its consistent #1 ranking through mid-September amid ongoing updates to its large language model features, including image generation and voice mode. Recent bug-fix releases and the September launch of GPT-6 Astra have sustained user engagement and revenue leadership in the generative AI category, outpacing competitors. Lower-probability apps such as Vinted, Muse from Meta, Google Gemini, and TikTok Pro reflect their current mid-tier positions, with limited catalysts to displace the leader before resolution. Traders view the outcome as relatively stable given ChatGPT’s established download momentum and category dominance, though sudden viral shifts or major competitor announcements could still alter the final chart.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,983Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT holds a strong 77% implied probability of claiming the top free spot in the US App Store on September 18, driven by its consistent #1 ranking through mid-September amid ongoing updates to its large language model features, including image generation and voice mode. Recent bug-fix releases and the September launch of GPT-6 Astra have sustained user engagement and revenue leadership in the generative AI category, outpacing competitors. Lower-probability apps such as Vinted, Muse from Meta, Google Gemini, and TikTok Pro reflect their current mid-tier positions, with limited catalysts to displace the leader before resolution. Traders view the outcome as relatively stable given ChatGPT’s established download momentum and category dominance, though sudden viral shifts or major competitor announcements could still alter the final chart.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Khối lượng
$5,983Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...ChatGPT holds a strong 77% implied probability of claiming the top free spot in the US App Store on September 18, driven by its consistent #1 ranking through mid-September amid ongoing updates to its large language model features, including image generation and voice mode. Recent bug-fix releases and the September launch of GPT-6 Astra have sustained user engagement and revenue leadership in the generative AI category, outpacing competitors. Lower-probability apps such as Vinted, Muse from Meta, Google Gemini, and TikTok Pro reflect their current mid-tier positions, with limited catalysts to displace the leader before resolution. Traders view the outcome as relatively stable given ChatGPT’s established download momentum and category dominance, though sudden viral shifts or major competitor announcements could still alter the final chart.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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