Recent affirmations by S&P Global Ratings in June 2026 and Fitch Ratings in August 2026, both holding the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlooks, reflect assessments of economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve-currency status, and tariff-supported revenues that offset elevated but stable deficits. Moody’s Aa1 rating, established after its May 2025 downgrade, carries a comparable stable outlook. These positions align with trader consensus favoring no further downgrade by December 31, 2026, even amid CBO projections of rising debt-to-GDP ratios and a debt-ceiling deadline around mid-2027. Agencies typically require a shift to negative outlooks before additional cuts, and no such signals have emerged in recent reviews. Bipartisan expectations of timely debt-ceiling resolution further support the current implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
12% khả năng
$13,246 KL.
$13,246 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
12% khả năng
$13,246 KL.
$13,246 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by S&P Global Ratings in June 2026 and Fitch Ratings in August 2026, both holding the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlooks, reflect assessments of economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve-currency status, and tariff-supported revenues that offset elevated but stable deficits. Moody’s Aa1 rating, established after its May 2025 downgrade, carries a comparable stable outlook. These positions align with trader consensus favoring no further downgrade by December 31, 2026, even amid CBO projections of rising debt-to-GDP ratios and a debt-ceiling deadline around mid-2027. Agencies typically require a shift to negative outlooks before additional cuts, and no such signals have emerged in recent reviews. Bipartisan expectations of timely debt-ceiling resolution further support the current implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$13,246Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by S&P Global Ratings in June 2026 and Fitch Ratings in August 2026, both holding the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlooks, reflect assessments of economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve-currency status, and tariff-supported revenues that offset elevated but stable deficits. Moody’s Aa1 rating, established after its May 2025 downgrade, carries a comparable stable outlook. These positions align with trader consensus favoring no further downgrade by December 31, 2026, even amid CBO projections of rising debt-to-GDP ratios and a debt-ceiling deadline around mid-2027. Agencies typically require a shift to negative outlooks before additional cuts, and no such signals have emerged in recent reviews. Bipartisan expectations of timely debt-ceiling resolution further support the current implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$13,246Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Recent affirmations by S&P Global Ratings in June 2026 and Fitch Ratings in August 2026, both holding the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlooks, reflect assessments of economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve-currency status, and tariff-supported revenues that offset elevated but stable deficits. Moody’s Aa1 rating, established after its May 2025 downgrade, carries a comparable stable outlook. These positions align with trader consensus favoring no further downgrade by December 31, 2026, even amid CBO projections of rising debt-to-GDP ratios and a debt-ceiling deadline around mid-2027. Agencies typically require a shift to negative outlooks before additional cuts, and no such signals have emerged in recent reviews. Bipartisan expectations of timely debt-ceiling resolution further support the current implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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