Brazil's STF justices enjoy strong institutional protections, including lifetime tenure until age 75 and removal only by a two-thirds Senate vote following House approval on specific charges. Recent impeachment requests against figures such as Gilmar Mendes and Alexandre de Moraes have surfaced in congressional inquiries and from individual senators, yet none have advanced beyond recommendations or procedural debates as of mid-2026. Court rulings clarifying filing requirements and Senate thresholds have reinforced barriers, while the current legislative balance and lack of supermajority support limit momentum. Traders price the "No" outcome near certainty because historical precedent shows no successful removals in modern times and near-term political conditions offer few pathways. A decisive post-election Senate shift or unprecedented bipartisan consensus on misconduct could still alter trajectories before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật3% khả năng
$83,546 KL.
$83,546 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
3% khả năng
$83,546 KL.
$83,546 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's STF justices enjoy strong institutional protections, including lifetime tenure until age 75 and removal only by a two-thirds Senate vote following House approval on specific charges. Recent impeachment requests against figures such as Gilmar Mendes and Alexandre de Moraes have surfaced in congressional inquiries and from individual senators, yet none have advanced beyond recommendations or procedural debates as of mid-2026. Court rulings clarifying filing requirements and Senate thresholds have reinforced barriers, while the current legislative balance and lack of supermajority support limit momentum. Traders price the "No" outcome near certainty because historical precedent shows no successful removals in modern times and near-term political conditions offer few pathways. A decisive post-election Senate shift or unprecedented bipartisan consensus on misconduct could still alter trajectories before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Khối lượng
$83,546Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's STF justices enjoy strong institutional protections, including lifetime tenure until age 75 and removal only by a two-thirds Senate vote following House approval on specific charges. Recent impeachment requests against figures such as Gilmar Mendes and Alexandre de Moraes have surfaced in congressional inquiries and from individual senators, yet none have advanced beyond recommendations or procedural debates as of mid-2026. Court rulings clarifying filing requirements and Senate thresholds have reinforced barriers, while the current legislative balance and lack of supermajority support limit momentum. Traders price the "No" outcome near certainty because historical precedent shows no successful removals in modern times and near-term political conditions offer few pathways. A decisive post-election Senate shift or unprecedented bipartisan consensus on misconduct could still alter trajectories before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$83,546Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's STF justices enjoy strong institutional protections, including lifetime tenure until age 75 and removal only by a two-thirds Senate vote following House approval on specific charges. Recent impeachment requests against figures such as Gilmar Mendes and Alexandre de Moraes have surfaced in congressional inquiries and from individual senators, yet none have advanced beyond recommendations or procedural debates as of mid-2026. Court rulings clarifying filing requirements and Senate thresholds have reinforced barriers, while the current legislative balance and lack of supermajority support limit momentum. Traders price the "No" outcome near certainty because historical precedent shows no successful removals in modern times and near-term political conditions offer few pathways. A decisive post-election Senate shift or unprecedented bipartisan consensus on misconduct could still alter trajectories before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp