Traders are pricing a 63.5% chance that Argentina’s May monthly inflation prints between 2.2% and 2.4%, reflecting the steady disinflation trend observed since early 2026. April’s year-over-year rate eased to 32.4% from 32.6% in March, while the March month-on-month figure of 3.4% marked the highest reading in a year before moderating. Central-bank analyst surveys released May 7 lifted the full-year 2026 forecast to 30.5%, underscoring persistent but decelerating price pressures amid fiscal consolidation and tighter monetary policy. With the May release due in early June, market-implied odds now embed expectations for further sequential cooling consistent with the latest consensus estimate near 2.5%.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật2.2–2.4% 62%
≤2.1% 29%
2.5–2.7% 26%
2.8–3.0% 12%
$46,634 KL.
$46,634 KL.
Jun 11, 2026
≤2.1%
25%
2.2–2.4%
62%
2.5–2.7%
26%
2.8–3.0%
12%
3.1–3.3%
6%
3.4–3.6%
7%
3.7–3.9%
6%
4.0%+
3%
2.2–2.4% 62%
≤2.1% 29%
2.5–2.7% 26%
2.8–3.0% 12%
$46,634 KL.
$46,634 KL.
Jun 11, 2026
≤2.1%
$415 KL.
25%
2.2–2.4%
$46,084 KL.
62%
2.5–2.7%
$0 KL.
26%
2.8–3.0%
$50 KL.
12%
3.1–3.3%
$0 KL.
6%
3.4–3.6%
$1 KL.
7%
3.7–3.9%
$20 KL.
6%
4.0%+
$63 KL.
3%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Traders are pricing a 63.5% chance that Argentina’s May monthly inflation prints between 2.2% and 2.4%, reflecting the steady disinflation trend observed since early 2026. April’s year-over-year rate eased to 32.4% from 32.6% in March, while the March month-on-month figure of 3.4% marked the highest reading in a year before moderating. Central-bank analyst surveys released May 7 lifted the full-year 2026 forecast to 30.5%, underscoring persistent but decelerating price pressures amid fiscal consolidation and tighter monetary policy. With the May release due in early June, market-implied odds now embed expectations for further sequential cooling consistent with the latest consensus estimate near 2.5%.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Khối lượng
$46,634Ngày kết thúc
Jun 11, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Traders are pricing a 63.5% chance that Argentina’s May monthly inflation prints between 2.2% and 2.4%, reflecting the steady disinflation trend observed since early 2026. April’s year-over-year rate eased to 32.4% from 32.6% in March, while the March month-on-month figure of 3.4% marked the highest reading in a year before moderating. Central-bank analyst surveys released May 7 lifted the full-year 2026 forecast to 30.5%, underscoring persistent but decelerating price pressures amid fiscal consolidation and tighter monetary policy. With the May release due in early June, market-implied odds now embed expectations for further sequential cooling consistent with the latest consensus estimate near 2.5%.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$46,634Ngày kết thúc
Jun 11, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing a 63.5% chance that Argentina’s May monthly inflation prints between 2.2% and 2.4%, reflecting the steady disinflation trend observed since early 2026. April’s year-over-year rate eased to 32.4% from 32.6% in March, while the March month-on-month figure of 3.4% marked the highest reading in a year before moderating. Central-bank analyst surveys released May 7 lifted the full-year 2026 forecast to 30.5%, underscoring persistent but decelerating price pressures amid fiscal consolidation and tighter monetary policy. With the May release due in early June, market-implied odds now embed expectations for further sequential cooling consistent with the latest consensus estimate near 2.5%.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp